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Sha Tin · 2026-03-22 · 05:30

PING HAI STAR HANDICAP

Race 2

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1200m Course A 13 runners

Race 2 ("PING HAI STAR HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-03-22 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. ABSOLUTE HEART, ridden by K C Leung and trained by W K Mo, won, with PRESTIGE HALL second and BABY SAKURA third. The 1.7 favourite BABY SAKURA finished 3rd.

Track detail & race-day changes (5)
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998 #14 GOOD FORTUNE — Weight Change #5 REAL GENTLEMAN — Code 92 #8 FORZA LEADER — Code 96 #8 FORZA LEADER — Jockey Change #8 FORZA LEADER — Weight Change

Result

Official · 1:08.49
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 6 ABSOLUTE HEART TT1 1:08.49 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · W K Mo 7 25.0
2 9 PRESTIGE HALL Z Purton · D J Hall 6 3.9 1-1/4
3 1 BABY SAKURA TT J Orman · K W Lui 2 1.7 1-1/2
4 10 TOP THRONE CP/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes 4 58.0 2
5 14 GOOD FORTUNE B/TT M F Poon · P C Ng 5 38.0 2
6 3 ALSONSO L Ferraris · M Newnham 9 28.0 3
7 2 SPICY STANDARD A Atzeni · J Size 12 6.8 3
8 13 THUNDER PRINCE CP1 K Teetan · J Richards 10 17.0 3-1/4
9 7 DAILY ACCLAIM A Badel · C Fownes 8 27.0 3-3/4
10 12 MAJESTIC LIFE TT B Avdulla · C H Yip 14 119.0 4-1/2
11 11 JOY STAR TT H T Mo · C S Shum 3 117.0 4-1/2
12 4 LIGHTNESS OF BEING CP/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 1 206.0 4-1/2
13 8 FORZA LEADER P-/B2 E C W Wong · Y S Tsui 13 230.0 7-3/4
0 MASTER OF HUMOR CP · B Crawford
5 REAL GENTLEMAN CP/H/TT P N Wong · K L Man
8 NAVAS G XB1 R Kingscote · D J Whyte 13

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. ABSOLUTE HEART2. PRESTIGE HALL+1.25L3. BABY SAKURA+1.5L4. TOP THRONE+2L5. GOOD FORTUNE+2L6. ALSONSO+3L7. SPICY STANDARD+3L8. THUNDER PRINCE+3.25L9. DAILY ACCLAIM+3.75L10. MAJESTIC LIFE+4.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick BABY SAKURA (34.9%) finished 3rd — the winner ABSOLUTE HEART was rated #7. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 BABY SAKURA 34.9% 2.86 3
2 9 PRESTIGE HALL 26.9% 3.71 2
3 2 SPICY STANDARD 14.6% 6.85 7
4 13 THUNDER PRINCE 5.0% 19.94 8
5 3 ALSONSO 3.3% 30.61 6
6 7 DAILY ACCLAIM 3.2% 30.90 9
7 6 ABSOLUTE HEART 2.7% 37.05 1
8 14 GOOD FORTUNE 2.4% 42.30 5
9 11 JOY STAR 2.1% 48.57 11
10 10 TOP THRONE 1.8% 56.18 4
11 8 FORZA LEADER 1.1% 90.52 13
12 4 LIGHTNESS OF BEING 1.1% 92.18 12
13 12 MAJESTIC LIFE 0.9% 105.56 10
BABY SAKURAPRESTIGE HALLSPICY STANDARDTHUNDER PRINCEALSONSODAILY ACCLAIMABSOLUTE HEART — wonGOOD FORTUNEJOY STARTOP THRONEFORZA LEADERLIGHTNESS OF BEINGMAJESTIC LIFE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 250.5

PLACE

1 10.5

6 54.5

9 14

QUINELLA

6,9 478

QUINELLA PLACE

1,6 67

1,9 16

6,9 110

FORECAST

6,9 1,225

TIERCE

6,9,1 3,243

TRIO

1,6,9 200

FIRST 4

1,6,9,10 1,582

QUARTET

6,9,1,10 70,168

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE

8/6 1,032.5

8/9 36.5

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

6,8,10/6>1,5,9 41,833