Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2026-03-22 · 05:00

LUGER HANDICAP

Race 1

Class 4 GOOD 1600m Course A 14 runners

Race 1 ("LUGER HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-03-22 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. MEGA MASTERMIND, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by J Richards, won, with CIRCUIT MARSHAL second and FLYING BOOM third. The winner led throughout. The 2.8 favourite ROBOT STAR finished 5th.

Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998 #13 MATSU VICTOR — Weight Change

Result

Official · 1:34.71
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 8 MEGA MASTERMIND Wire to wire V/TT 1:34.71 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · J Richards 11 7.3 —
2 10 CIRCUIT MARSHAL Closed strongly TT C L Chau · M Newnham 5 22.0 1/2
3 6 FLYING BOOM Closed strongly XB M F Poon · C W Chang 1 8.1 1
4 9 MULTISUPERSTAR Closed strongly TT A Badel · A S Cruz 13 132.0 1-1/4
5 1 ROBOT STAR Closed strongly CP Z Purton · K L Man 7 2.8 1-3/4
6 3 FORZA TORO Closed strongly TT H Bowman · C Fownes 9 3.6 2-1/2
7 12 FIGHTING MACHINE Closed strongly B/SR2 K Teetan · P C Ng 4 33.0 2-3/4
8 4 THE ABSOLUTE Closed strongly B/XB/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting 2 25.0 3-1/4
9 13 MATSU VICTOR XB-/B/TT1 C Y Ho · K W Lui 10 22.0 3-1/4
10 14 WINNING DIAMOND M L Yeung · C H Yip 8 28.0 4
11 2 BUCEPHALAS XB/TT K C Leung · W K Mo 12 20.0 5
12 5 GLORIOUS SUCCESS Closed strongly TT D B McMonagle · D Eustace 14 19.0 6
13 7 GRAND TURBO B/TT R Kingscote · C S Shum 3 160.0 9-3/4
14 11 LUCKY SECRET TT E C W Wong · D A Hayes 6 135.0 12-1/4
— 0 SPLENDID FORCE B-/SR1/TT- · C H Yip — — —
— 0 EXCELLENT BOY CP · C W Chang — — —

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MEGA MASTERMIND—2. CIRCUIT MARSHAL+0.5L3. FLYING BOOM+1L4. MULTISUPERSTAR+1.25L5. ROBOT STAR+1.75L6. FORZA TORO+2.5L7. FIGHTING MACHINE+2.75L8. THE ABSOLUTE+3.25L9. MATSU VICTOR+3.25L10. WINNING DIAMOND+4L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick ROBOT STAR (28.4%) finished 5th — the winner MEGA MASTERMIND was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 ROBOT STAR 28.4% 3.52 5
2 3 FORZA TORO 17.7% 5.64 6
3 6 FLYING BOOM 13.5% 7.40 3
4 4 THE ABSOLUTE 7.9% 12.61 8
5 8 MEGA MASTERMIND 7.3% 13.76 1
6 5 GLORIOUS SUCCESS 5.6% 17.77 12
7 13 MATSU VICTOR 4.5% 21.98 9
8 10 CIRCUIT MARSHAL 3.4% 29.80 2
9 2 BUCEPHALAS 3.0% 32.97 11
10 12 FIGHTING MACHINE 2.7% 37.62 7
11 14 WINNING DIAMOND 2.6% 38.06 10
12 11 LUCKY SECRET 1.3% 75.42 14
13 9 MULTISUPERSTAR 1.1% 89.47 4
14 7 GRAND TURBO 0.9% 112.34 13
ROBOT STARFORZA TOROFLYING BOOMTHE ABSOLUTEMEGA MASTERMIND — wonGLORIOUS SUCCESSMATSU VICTORCIRCUIT MARSHALBUCEPHALASFIGHTING MACHINEWINNING DIAMONDLUCKY SECRETMULTISUPERSTARGRAND TURBO

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 73

PLACE

6 21

8 23.5

10 56.5

QUINELLA

8,10 872.5

QUINELLA PLACE

6,8 93

6,10 183

8,10 248

FORECAST

8,10 1,534

TIERCE

8,10,6 12,112

TRIO

6,8,10 1,887

FIRST 4

6,8,9,10 32,908

QUARTET

8,10,6,9 529,175

Race 2 → This meeting Draw bias · Sha Tin 1600m Need this as data? Full results archive from $99