跑馬地 · 2026-04-29 · 11:10
YEONGCHEON HANDICAP
第 2場
2026-04-29跑馬地第2場「YEONGCHEON HANDICAP」，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO YIELDING。由Z Purton策騎、D A Hayes訓練的HONEST WITNESS勝出。GOLDEN FRIENDSHIP獲得亞軍；THE PERFECT MATCH獲得季軍。頭馬以2.5倍大熱姿態勝出。
場地詳情及賽日變動（1）
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | HONEST WITNESS B/TT 1:09.48 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 4 | 2.5 | — |
| 2 | 12 | GOLDEN FRIENDSHIP B/TT H T Mo · K H Ting | H T Mo | K H Ting | 2 | 15.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 3 | 6 | THE PERFECT MATCH TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 7 | 12.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | CHEAHA TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 11 | 49.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | VERY GRATEFUL V1/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 8 | 35.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | LEAN MASTER B2/TT H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 10 | 8.6 | 7-1/2 |
| 7 | 3 | EVERSTAR P-/CP2 J Orman · Y S Tsui | J Orman | Y S Tsui | 9 | 22.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 8 | 9 | KING GLORIOSO SR/TT C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 3 | 5.1 | 8-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | AMO ERGO SUM B Avdulla · B Crawford | B Avdulla | B Crawford | 1 | 17.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | GLACIATED PC/TT K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 5 | 5.6 | 10-3/4 |
| 11 | 5 | SOO KOO SR1 M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 12 | 80.0 | 13 |
| 12 | 8 | SEA DIAMOND B/TT E Brown · D Eustace | E Brown | D Eustace | 6 | 36.0 | 16 |
| — | 0 | MASTER LUCKY · J Size | — | J Size | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | LAKESHORE HERO · D J Hall | — | D J Hall | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | HONEST WITNESS | 39.6% | 2.53 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | THE PERFECT MATCH | 11.0% | 9.08 | 3 |
| 3 | 9 | KING GLORIOSO | 8.3% | 12.03 | 8 |
| 4 | 12 | GOLDEN FRIENDSHIP | 7.2% | 13.82 | 2 |
| 5 | 10 | GLACIATED | 7.0% | 14.26 | 10 |
| 6 | 8 | SEA DIAMOND | 6.9% | 14.59 | 12 |
| 7 | 2 | VERY GRATEFUL | 5.5% | 18.08 | 5 |
| 8 | 5 | SOO KOO | 4.5% | 22.39 | 11 |
| 9 | 11 | LEAN MASTER | 3.7% | 26.71 | 6 |
| 10 | 1 | CHEAHA | 2.5% | 40.81 | 4 |
| 11 | 3 | EVERSTAR | 2.1% | 48.71 | 7 |
| 12 | 7 | AMO ERGO SUM | 1.8% | 56.63 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 25.5
PLACE
4 13
6 30.5
12 41.5
QUINELLA
4,12 163
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 63
4,12 64
6,12 225
FORECAST
4,12 274
TIERCE
4,12,6 2,251
TRIO
4,6,12 613
FIRST 4
1,4,6,12 4,576
QUARTET
4,12,6,1 63,355
全部彩池（另 1 項）
1ST DOUBLE
4/4 114
4/12 156.5