跑馬地 · 2026-04-29 · 14:50
JEJU HANDICAP
第 9場
2026-04-29跑馬地第9場「JEJU HANDICAP」,Class 3,途程1650米,跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、M Newnham訓練的ARMOR GOLDEN EAGLE勝出。WITHALLMYFAITH獲得亞軍;FANTASTIC FUN獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以2.8倍大熱姿態勝出。
場地詳情及賽日變動(2)
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | ARMOR GOLDEN EAGLE 後段發力 B 1:39.59 ▶ 重播 (在新分頁開啟) Z Purton · M Newnham | Z Purton | M Newnham | 4 | 2.8 | — |
| 2 | 12 | WITHALLMYFAITH 後段發力 B/XB K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 3 | 5.6 | 3-3/4 |
| 3 | 5 | FANTASTIC FUN XB/TT E Brown · C S Shum | E Brown | C S Shum | 6 | 12.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | CALIFORNIA MOXIE 後段發力 B/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 11 | 12.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | KEEFY 後段發力 V-/B2 K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 10 | 19.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 6 | 10 | VIVA GRACIOUSNESS TT P N Wong · A S Cruz | P N Wong | A S Cruz | 1 | 15.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 7 | 11 | LUCKY TWIN STARS 後段發力 CP H Bentley · K W Lui | H Bentley | K W Lui | 7 | 11.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 8 | 9 | STORMI 早段領放 CP/TT C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 12 | 27.0 | 8 |
| 9 | 3 | CORLEONE PC1/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 8 | 10.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | I CAN H/TT Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 2 | 72.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 11 | 1 | SOLID WIN H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 9 | 6.9 | 10-1/4 |
| 12 | 8 | SPICY GOLD M Chadwick · J Richards | M Chadwick | J Richards | 5 | 77.0 | 37 |
| — | 0 | KANSAS CP · D A Hayes | — | D A Hayes | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | LADY'S LOVE · C W Chang | — | C W Chang | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | ARMOR GOLDEN EAGLE | 26.6% | 3.76 | 1 |
| 2 | 12 | WITHALLMYFAITH | 13.9% | 7.19 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 | SOLID WIN | 10.0% | 9.99 | 11 |
| 4 | 10 | VIVA GRACIOUSNESS | 9.1% | 10.95 | 6 |
| 5 | 5 | FANTASTIC FUN | 8.5% | 11.73 | 3 |
| 6 | 3 | CORLEONE | 7.6% | 13.09 | 9 |
| 7 | 2 | KEEFY | 5.9% | 17.03 | 5 |
| 8 | 9 | STORMI | 4.9% | 20.47 | 8 |
| 9 | 11 | LUCKY TWIN STARS | 4.0% | 24.72 | 7 |
| 10 | 7 | CALIFORNIA MOXIE | 3.9% | 25.90 | 4 |
| 11 | 8 | SPICY GOLD | 2.8% | 35.72 | 12 |
| 12 | 4 | I CAN | 2.7% | 37.07 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬:橫軸為模型概率,縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致;金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算,並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 28
PLACE
5 32
6 14
12 19
QUINELLA
6,12 71
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 58.5
5,12 95
6,12 33
FORECAST
6,12 139
TIERCE
6,12,5 922
TRIO
5,6,12 211
FIRST 4
5,6,7,12 863
QUARTET
6,12,5,7 12,681
全部彩池(另 4 項)
2ND TREBLE
3/4/6 609
3/4/12 176
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
4,6,11/5,6,12 9,997
8TH DOUBLE
4/6 78.5
4/12 15
SIX UP
3/8/4/3/4/6 100,679
3,11/2,8/1,4/3,8/4,6/6,12 2,807
2 [D J Whyte] —
1 [Z Purton] —