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Happy Valley · 2026-04-29 · 14:50

JEJU HANDICAP

Race 9

Class 3 GOOD 1650m Course C 12 runners

Race 9 ("JEJU HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-04-29 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. ARMOR GOLDEN EAGLE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by M Newnham, won, with WITHALLMYFAITH second and FANTASTIC FUN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.8 favourite.

Track detail & race-day changes (2)
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998 #2 KEEFY — Jockey Change #9 STORMI — Weight Change

Result

Official · 1:39.59
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 6 ARMOR GOLDEN EAGLE Closed strongly B 1:39.59 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · M Newnham 4 2.8
2 12 WITHALLMYFAITH Closed strongly B/XB K Teetan · D A Hayes 3 5.6 3-3/4
3 5 FANTASTIC FUN XB/TT E Brown · C S Shum 6 12.0 4-1/2
4 7 CALIFORNIA MOXIE Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · A S Cruz 11 12.0 4-3/4
5 2 KEEFY Closed strongly V-/B2 K C Leung · F C Lor 10 19.0 5-3/4
6 10 VIVA GRACIOUSNESS TT P N Wong · A S Cruz 1 15.0 6-1/4
7 11 LUCKY TWIN STARS Closed strongly CP H Bentley · K W Lui 7 11.0 6-3/4
8 9 STORMI Led early CP/TT C L Chau · W K Mo 12 27.0 8
9 3 CORLEONE PC1/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes 8 10.0 8-1/4
10 4 I CAN H/TT Y L Chung · P C Ng 2 72.0 9-3/4
11 1 SOLID WIN H Bowman · P F Yiu 9 6.9 10-1/4
12 8 SPICY GOLD M Chadwick · J Richards 5 77.0 37
0 KANSAS CP · D A Hayes
0 LADY'S LOVE · C W Chang

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. ARMOR GOLDEN EAGLE2. WITHALLMYFAITH+3.75L3. FANTASTIC FUN+4.5L4. CALIFORNIA MOXIE+4.75L5. KEEFY+5.75L6. VIVA GRACIOUSNESS+6.25L7. LUCKY TWIN STARS+6.75L8. STORMI+8L9. CORLEONE+8.25L10. I CAN+9.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick ARMOR GOLDEN EAGLE (26.6%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 6 ARMOR GOLDEN EAGLE 26.6% 3.76 1
2 12 WITHALLMYFAITH 13.9% 7.19 2
3 1 SOLID WIN 10.0% 9.99 11
4 10 VIVA GRACIOUSNESS 9.1% 10.95 6
5 5 FANTASTIC FUN 8.5% 11.73 3
6 3 CORLEONE 7.6% 13.09 9
7 2 KEEFY 5.9% 17.03 5
8 9 STORMI 4.9% 20.47 8
9 11 LUCKY TWIN STARS 4.0% 24.72 7
10 7 CALIFORNIA MOXIE 3.9% 25.90 4
11 8 SPICY GOLD 2.8% 35.72 12
12 4 I CAN 2.7% 37.07 10
ARMOR GOLDEN EAGLE — wonWITHALLMYFAITHSOLID WINVIVA GRACIOUSNESSFANTASTIC FUNCORLEONEKEEFYSTORMILUCKY TWIN STARSCALIFORNIA MOXIESPICY GOLDI CAN

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 28

PLACE

5 32

6 14

12 19

QUINELLA

6,12 71

QUINELLA PLACE

5,6 58.5

5,12 95

6,12 33

FORECAST

6,12 139

TIERCE

6,12,5 922

TRIO

5,6,12 211

FIRST 4

5,6,7,12 863

QUARTET

6,12,5,7 12,681

All pools (4 more)

2ND TREBLE

3/4/6 609

3/4/12 176

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

4,6,11/5,6,12 9,997

8TH DOUBLE

4/6 78.5

4/12 15

SIX UP

3/8/4/3/4/6 100,679

3,11/2,8/1,4/3,8/4,6/6,12 2,807

2 [D J Whyte]

1 [Z Purton]