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Happy Valley · 2026-04-29 · 19:40

DAEGU HANDICAP

Race 3

Class 4 GOOD TO YIELDING 2200m Course C 12 runners
Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998 #1 AGENDA — Jockey Change

Result

Official · 2:16.79
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 10 SUPER GOLDENDRAGON Closed strongly BO/TT 2:16.79 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · W K Mo 6 88.0 —
2 5 DOUBLE WIN Closed strongly V/XB/TT C Y Ho · K L Man 7 14.0 1
3 8 JOYFUL PROSPERITY Closed strongly B/TT B Avdulla · C S Shum 8 12.0 2
4 7 OCEAN IMPACT Closed strongly B-/SR2 L Ferraris · D J Whyte 2 16.0 2
5 11 ROMANTIC FANTASY Closed strongly A Badel · J Richards 12 4.7 3-1/4
6 9 STAR BROSE CP/TT Z Purton · D A Hayes 5 2.6 4-3/4
7 2 NOBLE PURSUIT Closed strongly TT H Bowman · C Fownes 3 13.0 5
8 6 PACKING HURRICANE B/TT H Bentley · P C Ng 4 12.0 5-3/4
9 3 SERANGOON Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz 1 9.3 8
10 12 SMART CITY Led early CP/XB R Kingscote · P F Yiu 9 11.0 10-3/4
11 1 AGENDA BO J Orman · D J Hall 10 25.0 11
12 4 KING OF SELECTION B/TT C L Chau · W K Mo 11 126.0 32
— 0 YIU CHEUNG VICTORY · C H Yip — — —
— 0 GLORIOUS SUCCESS TT · D Eustace — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 3 ("DAEGU HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-04-29 was Class 4 over 2200m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. SUPER GOLDENDRAGON, ridden by K C Leung and trained by W K Mo, won, with DOUBLE WIN second and JOYFUL PROSPERITY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.6 favourite STAR BROSE finished 6th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SUPER GOLDENDRAGON—2. DOUBLE WIN+1L3. JOYFUL PROSPERITY+2L4. OCEAN IMPACT+2L5. ROMANTIC FANTASY+3.25L6. STAR BROSE+4.75L7. NOBLE PURSUIT+5L8. PACKING HURRICANE+5.75L9. SERANGOON+8L10. SMART CITY+10.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick STAR BROSE (30.3%) finished 6th — the winner SUPER GOLDENDRAGON was rated #11. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 9 STAR BROSE 30.3% 3.30 6
2 11 ROMANTIC FANTASY 17.7% 5.64 5
3 2 NOBLE PURSUIT 11.7% 8.57 7
4 3 SERANGOON 7.8% 12.74 9
5 1 AGENDA 7.0% 14.35 11
6 8 JOYFUL PROSPERITY 5.9% 16.99 3
7 6 PACKING HURRICANE 5.3% 18.96 8
8 5 DOUBLE WIN 4.9% 20.60 2
9 12 SMART CITY 3.7% 26.76 10
10 7 OCEAN IMPACT 3.0% 33.15 4
11 10 SUPER GOLDENDRAGON 1.4% 71.13 1
12 4 KING OF SELECTION 1.3% 78.56 12
STAR BROSEROMANTIC FANTASYNOBLE PURSUITSERANGOONAGENDAJOYFUL PROSPERITYPACKING HURRICANEDOUBLE WINSMART CITYOCEAN IMPACTSUPER GOLDENDRAGON — wonKING OF SELECTION

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

10 888

PLACE

5 36

8 30.5

10 182

QUINELLA

5,10 5,899

QUINELLA PLACE

5,8 174.5

5,10 1,134

8,10 1,196

FORECAST

10,5 12,706

TIERCE

10,5,8 151,605

TRIO

5,8,10 15,142

FIRST 4

5,7,8,10 42,727

QUARTET

10,5,8,7 1,847,947

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

4,6,12/5,8,10 1,050,920

2ND DOUBLE

4/5 67

4/10 2,035