Happy Valley · 2026-04-29 · 11:40
DAEGU HANDICAP
Race 3
Race 3 ("DAEGU HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-04-29 was Class 4 over 2200m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. SUPER GOLDENDRAGON, ridden by K C Leung and trained by W K Mo, won, with DOUBLE WIN second and JOYFUL PROSPERITY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.6 favourite STAR BROSE finished 6th.
Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | SUPER GOLDENDRAGON Closed strongly BO/TT 2:16.79 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 6 | 88.0 | — |
| 2 | 5 | DOUBLE WIN Closed strongly V/XB/TT C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 7 | 14.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 8 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY Closed strongly B/TT B Avdulla · C S Shum | B Avdulla | C S Shum | 8 | 12.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 7 | OCEAN IMPACT Closed strongly B-/SR2 L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 2 | 16.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 11 | ROMANTIC FANTASY Closed strongly A Badel · J Richards | A Badel | J Richards | 12 | 4.7 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | STAR BROSE CP/TT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 5 | 2.6 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | NOBLE PURSUIT Closed strongly TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 3 | 13.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 6 | PACKING HURRICANE B/TT H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 4 | 12.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | SERANGOON Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 1 | 9.3 | 8 |
| 10 | 12 | SMART CITY Led early CP/XB R Kingscote · P F Yiu | R Kingscote | P F Yiu | 9 | 11.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 11 | 1 | AGENDA BO J Orman · D J Hall | J Orman | D J Hall | 10 | 25.0 | 11 |
| 12 | 4 | KING OF SELECTION B/TT C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 11 | 126.0 | 32 |
| — | 0 | YIU CHEUNG VICTORY · C H Yip | — | C H Yip | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | GLORIOUS SUCCESS TT · D Eustace | — | D Eustace | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | STAR BROSE | 30.3% | 3.30 | 6 |
| 2 | 11 | ROMANTIC FANTASY | 17.7% | 5.64 | 5 |
| 3 | 2 | NOBLE PURSUIT | 11.7% | 8.57 | 7 |
| 4 | 3 | SERANGOON | 7.8% | 12.74 | 9 |
| 5 | 1 | AGENDA | 7.0% | 14.35 | 11 |
| 6 | 8 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY | 5.9% | 16.99 | 3 |
| 7 | 6 | PACKING HURRICANE | 5.3% | 18.96 | 8 |
| 8 | 5 | DOUBLE WIN | 4.9% | 20.60 | 2 |
| 9 | 12 | SMART CITY | 3.7% | 26.76 | 10 |
| 10 | 7 | OCEAN IMPACT | 3.0% | 33.15 | 4 |
| 11 | 10 | SUPER GOLDENDRAGON | 1.4% | 71.13 | 1 |
| 12 | 4 | KING OF SELECTION | 1.3% | 78.56 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 888
PLACE
5 36
8 30.5
10 182
QUINELLA
5,10 5,899
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 174.5
5,10 1,134
8,10 1,196
FORECAST
10,5 12,706
TIERCE
10,5,8 151,605
TRIO
5,8,10 15,142
FIRST 4
5,7,8,10 42,727
QUARTET
10,5,8,7 1,847,947
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
4,6,12/5,8,10 1,050,920
2ND DOUBLE
4/5 67
4/10 2,035