Happy Valley · 2026-04-29 · 14:15
BUSAN HANDICAP
Race 8
Race 8 ("BUSAN HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-04-29 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. GIANT BALLON, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D J Whyte, won, with FLYING WROTE second and SPIRIT OF PEACE third. Victory came as the 2.7 favourite.
Track detail & race-day changes (3)
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | GIANT BALLON B/TT 1:09.95 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 6 | 2.7 | — |
| 2 | 6 | FLYING WROTE TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 5 | 10.0 | HD |
| 3 | 11 | SPIRIT OF PEACE K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 9 | 16.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | MEOWTH CP/SR/TT A Badel · W K Mo | A Badel | W K Mo | 4 | 5.3 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | COPARTNER FLEET XB M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 8 | 104.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 8 | EMBRACE ABERDEEN CP/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 3 | 6.1 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | CAUSEWAY KING CP2 H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 11 | 37.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | SPORTS LEGEND B/TT Y L Chung · D Eustace | Y L Chung | D Eustace | 2 | 9.4 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 2 | HAPPY INDEX TT H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 12 | 8.6 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 10 | HEY BROS XB- P N Wong · B Crawford | P N Wong | B Crawford | 1 | 43.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 1 | MID WINTER WIND L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 7 | 30.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 7 | TACTICAL ACE XB/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 10 | 52.0 | 8-1/4 |
| — | 0 | ACE CHAMPION TT · P C Ng | — | P C Ng | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | CITY GOLD BANNER TT · J Richards | — | J Richards | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | GIANT BALLON | 33.4% | 2.99 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | EMBRACE ABERDEEN | 12.3% | 8.14 | 6 |
| 3 | 12 | MEOWTH | 10.6% | 9.43 | 4 |
| 4 | 2 | HAPPY INDEX | 9.4% | 10.62 | 9 |
| 5 | 11 | SPIRIT OF PEACE | 7.8% | 12.87 | 3 |
| 6 | 6 | FLYING WROTE | 7.3% | 13.69 | 2 |
| 7 | 3 | SPORTS LEGEND | 6.6% | 15.04 | 8 |
| 8 | 1 | MID WINTER WIND | 3.8% | 26.33 | 11 |
| 9 | 10 | HEY BROS | 3.7% | 26.84 | 10 |
| 10 | 5 | CAUSEWAY KING | 1.8% | 54.58 | 7 |
| 11 | 7 | TACTICAL ACE | 1.7% | 59.89 | 12 |
| 12 | 9 | COPARTNER FLEET | 1.5% | 66.12 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 27
PLACE
4 14.5
6 24
11 35.5
QUINELLA
4,6 141.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 50.5
4,11 75.5
6,11 195.5
FORECAST
4,6 192
TIERCE
4,6,11 1,918
TRIO
4,6,11 577
FIRST 4
4,6,11,12 380
QUARTET
4,6,11,12 5,447
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
3/4 147
3/6 200