Happy Valley · 2026-04-29 · 10:40
DAEJEON HANDICAP
Race 1
Race 1 ("DAEJEON HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-04-29 was Class 5 over 1800m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. DASHING MAURISON, ridden by H Bentley and trained by D A Hayes, won, with SPLENDID FORCE second and FAMILY FORTUNE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.6 favourite PERFECT PAIRING finished 4th.
Track detail & race-day changes (3)
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | DASHING MAURISON Closed strongly CP-/B1 1:50.38 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 9 | 5.4 | — |
| 2 | 3 | SPLENDID FORCE Closed strongly B M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 2 | 17.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 5 | FAMILY FORTUNE Closed strongly TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 8 | 10.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 4 | 7 | PERFECT PAIRING Closed strongly B H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 5 | 3.6 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 6 | KASA PAPA Closed strongly CP/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz | C L Chau | A S Cruz | 10 | 8.4 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 11 | ISLAND GOLDEN Closed strongly B/TT Y L Chung · K L Man | Y L Chung | K L Man | 4 | 40.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | HAPPY BUDDIES CP/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 12 | 58.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 1 | CELESTIAL HARMONY XB K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 7 | 5.4 | 8-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | MR ALADDIN CP-/B2/TT P N Wong · P C Ng | P N Wong | P C Ng | 6 | 14.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | GOLDEN FAIRY Led early M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 11 | 34.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | PERFECT PEACH B-/TT C Y Ho · C W Chang | C Y Ho | C W Chang | 1 | 9.6 | 11-1/2 |
| 12 | 2 | DILBAGH B/XB R Kingscote · D J Whyte | R Kingscote | D J Whyte | 3 | 19.0 | 12-1/4 |
| — | 0 | CHATEAU LE PECHE B · K H Ting | — | K H Ting | — | — | — |
| WV | 10 | GOLD TACK M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 12 | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | PERFECT PAIRING | 17.0% | 5.89 | 4 |
| 2 | 6 | KASA PAPA | 13.0% | 7.66 | 5 |
| 3 | 5 | FAMILY FORTUNE | 11.5% | 8.73 | 3 |
| 4 | 4 | DASHING MAURISON | 11.2% | 8.91 | 1 |
| 5 | 1 | CELESTIAL HARMONY | 10.7% | 9.33 | 8 |
| 6 | 12 | MR ALADDIN | 9.3% | 10.79 | 9 |
| 7 | 3 | SPLENDID FORCE | 8.0% | 12.45 | 2 |
| 8 | 2 | DILBAGH | 4.4% | 22.98 | 12 |
| 9 | 8 | PERFECT PEACH | 4.3% | 23.20 | 11 |
| 10 | 11 | ISLAND GOLDEN | 4.2% | 24.03 | 6 |
| 11 | 9 | GOLDEN FAIRY | 3.2% | 30.98 | 10 |
| 12 | 10 | HAPPY BUDDIES | 3.2% | 31.03 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 54
PLACE
3 45.5
4 20.5
5 30.5
QUINELLA
3,4 505
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 162
3,5 251
4,5 83
FORECAST
4,3 749
TIERCE
4,3,5 7,532
TRIO
3,4,5 1,674
FIRST 4
3,4,5,7 930
QUARTET
4,3,5,7 22,939