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Happy Valley · 2026-04-29 · 18:40

DAEJEON HANDICAP

Race 1

Class 5 GOOD TO YIELDING 1800m Course C 12 runners
Track detail & race-day changes (3)
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998 #10 HAPPY BUDDIES — Code 96 #10 HAPPY BUDDIES — Jockey Change #10 HAPPY BUDDIES — Weight Change

Result

Official · 1:50.38
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 4 DASHING MAURISON Closed strongly CP-/B1 1:50.38 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · D A Hayes 9 5.4 —
2 3 SPLENDID FORCE Closed strongly B M Chadwick · C H Yip 2 17.0 2-1/2
3 5 FAMILY FORTUNE Closed strongly TT E C W Wong · C Fownes 8 10.0 4-1/4
4 7 PERFECT PAIRING Closed strongly B H Bowman · J Size 5 3.6 4-1/4
5 6 KASA PAPA Closed strongly CP/TT C L Chau · A S Cruz 10 8.4 4-1/4
6 11 ISLAND GOLDEN Closed strongly B/TT Y L Chung · K L Man 4 40.0 5-3/4
7 10 HAPPY BUDDIES CP/TT K C Leung · W K Mo 12 58.0 5-3/4
8 1 CELESTIAL HARMONY XB K Teetan · B Crawford 7 5.4 8-1/4
9 12 MR ALADDIN CP-/B2/TT P N Wong · P C Ng 6 14.0 8-3/4
10 9 GOLDEN FAIRY Led early M L Yeung · W Y So 11 34.0 9-1/4
11 8 PERFECT PEACH B-/TT C Y Ho · C W Chang 1 9.6 11-1/2
12 2 DILBAGH B/XB R Kingscote · D J Whyte 3 19.0 12-1/4
— 0 CHATEAU LE PECHE B · K H Ting — — —
WV 10 GOLD TACK M F Poon · D J Hall 12 — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 1 ("DAEJEON HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-04-29 was Class 5 over 1800m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. DASHING MAURISON, ridden by H Bentley and trained by D A Hayes, won, with SPLENDID FORCE second and FAMILY FORTUNE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.6 favourite PERFECT PAIRING finished 4th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. DASHING MAURISON—2. SPLENDID FORCE+2.5L3. FAMILY FORTUNE+4.25L4. PERFECT PAIRING+4.25L5. KASA PAPA+4.25L6. ISLAND GOLDEN+5.75L7. HAPPY BUDDIES+5.75L8. CELESTIAL HARMONY+8.25L9. MR ALADDIN+8.75L10. GOLDEN FAIRY+9.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick PERFECT PAIRING (17.0%) finished 4th — the winner DASHING MAURISON was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 7 PERFECT PAIRING 17.0% 5.89 4
2 6 KASA PAPA 13.0% 7.66 5
3 5 FAMILY FORTUNE 11.5% 8.73 3
4 4 DASHING MAURISON 11.2% 8.91 1
5 1 CELESTIAL HARMONY 10.7% 9.33 8
6 12 MR ALADDIN 9.3% 10.79 9
7 3 SPLENDID FORCE 8.0% 12.45 2
8 2 DILBAGH 4.4% 22.98 12
9 8 PERFECT PEACH 4.3% 23.20 11
10 11 ISLAND GOLDEN 4.2% 24.03 6
11 9 GOLDEN FAIRY 3.2% 30.98 10
12 10 HAPPY BUDDIES 3.2% 31.03 7
PERFECT PAIRINGKASA PAPAFAMILY FORTUNEDASHING MAURISON — wonCELESTIAL HARMONYMR ALADDINSPLENDID FORCEDILBAGHPERFECT PEACHISLAND GOLDENGOLDEN FAIRYHAPPY BUDDIES

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 54

PLACE

3 45.5

4 20.5

5 30.5

QUINELLA

3,4 505

QUINELLA PLACE

3,4 162

3,5 251

4,5 83

FORECAST

4,3 749

TIERCE

4,3,5 7,532

TRIO

3,4,5 1,674

FIRST 4

3,4,5,7 930

QUARTET

4,3,5,7 22,939