沙田 · 2026-05-24 · 10:00
STANDARD CHARTERED SME BANKING HANDICAP
第 11場
2026-05-24沙田第11場「STANDARD CHARTERED SME BANKING HANDICAP」，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由M F Poon策騎、F C Lor訓練的THE RED HARE勝出。WITHOUT COMPARE獲得亞軍；FIT FOR BEAUTY獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.1倍大熱門BABY SAKURA跑獲第4名。
場地詳情及賽日變動（4）
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | THE RED HARE 後段發力 H/P/TT 1:21.83 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 3 | 13.0 | — |
| 2 | 4 | WITHOUT COMPARE 後段發力 TT J McDonald · C S Shum | J McDonald | C S Shum | 2 | 6.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 5 | FIT FOR BEAUTY 後段發力 H Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 10 | 3.9 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | BABY SAKURA TT A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 1 | 2.1 | 2 |
| 5 | 12 | CALIFORNIA WAVES 後段發力 V/XB/TT K Teetan · W K Mo | K Teetan | W K Mo | 12 | 29.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 13 | KING OF FIGHTERS 後段發力 M L Yeung · B Crawford | M L Yeung | B Crawford | 6 | 98.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | YEE CHEONG GLORY 後段發力 CP/TT A Badel · J Richards | A Badel | J Richards | 11 | 48.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 1 | AKASHVANI B B Avdulla · D A Hayes | B Avdulla | D A Hayes | 7 | 23.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 8 | GOLDEN CHAMP 早段領放 V/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 8 | 147.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 14 | VICTOR THE RAPID B/TT P N Wong · P C Ng | P N Wong | P C Ng | 4 | 37.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 11 | CHARMING LEGEND 後段發力 B-/XB- J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 13 | 72.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 3 | CLASS V- C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 5 | 144.0 | 6 |
| 13 | 2 | CONTINENT EXPRESS XB H Bowman · D Eustace | H Bowman | D Eustace | 14 | 11.0 | 7 |
| — | 0 | GLITTERING LEGEND CP/XB · D Eustace | — | D Eustace | — | — | — |
| WV | 3 | THUNDER BLAZE XB J Orman · D J Hall | J Orman | D J Hall | 5 | — | — |
| — | 9 | PRIME SUCCESS SR-/XB1 H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | BABY SAKURA | 47.2% | 2.12 | 4 |
| 2 | 5 | FIT FOR BEAUTY | 13.6% | 7.34 | 3 |
| 3 | 4 | WITHOUT COMPARE | 12.0% | 8.35 | 2 |
| 4 | 6 | THE RED HARE | 6.4% | 15.63 | 1 |
| 5 | 2 | CONTINENT EXPRESS | 3.8% | 26.36 | 13 |
| 6 | 12 | CALIFORNIA WAVES | 2.7% | 36.61 | 5 |
| 7 | 14 | VICTOR THE RAPID | 2.7% | 36.76 | 10 |
| 8 | 13 | KING OF FIGHTERS | 2.5% | 40.00 | 6 |
| 9 | 10 | YEE CHEONG GLORY | 2.4% | 40.88 | 7 |
| 10 | 1 | AKASHVANI | 2.4% | 41.21 | 8 |
| 11 | 11 | CHARMING LEGEND | 2.2% | 45.27 | 11 |
| 12 | 8 | GOLDEN CHAMP | 1.2% | 86.64 | 9 |
| 13 | 3 | CLASS | 0.8% | 121.60 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 136.5
PLACE
4 17
5 15
6 33.5
QUINELLA
4,6 342
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 35.5
4,6 96
5,6 63.5
FORECAST
6,4 890
TIERCE
6,4,5 2,599
TRIO
4,5,6 330
FIRST 4
4,5,6,7 93
QUARTET
6,4,5,7 4,421
全部彩池（另 4 項）
10TH DOUBLE
5/4 38.5
5/6 740.5
2ND TREBLE
5/5/4 114
5/5/6 2,645
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,13/4,5,6 163,249
SIX UP
5,8/12,13/1,5/5,11/5,13/4,6 16,280
5/12/1/5/5/6 166,878
1 [C S Shum] —
1 [Z Purton] —