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Sha Tin · 2026-06-21 · 09:30

DIAMOND HANDICAP

Race 4

Class 4 GOOD 1200m Course A 14 runners

Race 4 ("DIAMOND HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-06-21 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. ABSOLUTE HEART, ridden by K C Leung and trained by W K Mo, won, with OLDTOWN second and MASTER PHOENIX third. Victory came as the 1.7 favourite.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.71

Result

Official · 1:08.94
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 2 ABSOLUTE HEART TT 1:08.94 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · W K Mo 5 1.7
2 3 OLDTOWN B/XB Z Purton · M Newnham 6 5.9 1-1/2
3 11 MASTER PHOENIX B C L Chau · D Eustace 8 21.0 2-1/4
4 13 FLYING SNIPER M F Poon · D J Hall 4 20.0 2-1/2
5 12 CASA PRIMO H/XB R Kingscote · C W Chang 7 19.0 4
6 14 GROOVY FEELING CP/TT M L Yeung · J Richards 2 109.0 5-1/4
7 6 HERO RISING K Teetan · B Crawford 12 17.0 5-3/4
8 9 SUPER LOVE TT E Brown · C H Yip 14 68.0 6-1/4
9 8 POET'S REIGN B1/TT J Orman · W Y So 3 95.0 6-1/2
10 7 HOT AIR BALLON XB1 B Avdulla · D J Whyte 1 6.4 6-3/4
11 5 HAPPY SPECIAL A Atzeni · P C Ng 10 69.0 7-1/4
12 4 AETHELWIND TT1 H Y Yuen · P F Yiu 9 33.0 9-1/4
13 1 MAGNEMITE XB-/SR/TT H T Mo · Y S Tsui 11 202.0 12-1/2
14 10 MY TRIUMPH H- C Y Ho · D A Hayes 13 202.0 12-3/4
0 I AM BACK SR/TT · C Fownes
0 A TIME FOR US B/TT · K W Lui

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. ABSOLUTE HEART2. OLDTOWN+1.5L3. MASTER PHOENIX+2.25L4. FLYING SNIPER+2.5L5. CASA PRIMO+4L6. GROOVY FEELING+5.25L7. HERO RISING+5.75L8. SUPER LOVE+6.25L9. POET'S REIGN+6.5L10. HOT AIR BALLON+6.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick OLDTOWN (24.7%) finished 2nd — the winner ABSOLUTE HEART was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 OLDTOWN 24.7% 4.05 2
2 2 ABSOLUTE HEART 19.1% 5.24 1
3 7 HOT AIR BALLON 10.2% 9.84 10
4 11 MASTER PHOENIX 7.5% 13.35 3
5 13 FLYING SNIPER 7.1% 14.06 4
6 4 AETHELWIND 6.0% 16.72 12
7 12 CASA PRIMO 5.9% 16.87 5
8 6 HERO RISING 4.9% 20.37 7
9 5 HAPPY SPECIAL 4.4% 22.94 11
10 9 SUPER LOVE 3.3% 30.10 8
11 8 POET'S REIGN 2.7% 37.56 9
12 10 MY TRIUMPH 1.7% 58.70 14
13 14 GROOVY FEELING 1.5% 67.53 6
14 1 MAGNEMITE 1.1% 89.48 13
OLDTOWNABSOLUTE HEART — wonHOT AIR BALLONMASTER PHOENIXFLYING SNIPERAETHELWINDCASA PRIMOHERO RISINGHAPPY SPECIALSUPER LOVEPOET'S REIGNMY TRIUMPHGROOVY FEELINGMAGNEMITE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 17

PLACE

2 11.5

3 17.5

11 35

QUINELLA

2,3 48.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,3 23.5

2,11 60

3,11 99

FORECAST

2,3 74

TIERCE

2,3,11 451

TRIO

2,3,11 166

FIRST 4

2,3,11,13 262

QUARTET

2,3,11,13 2,371

All pools (1 more)

3RD DOUBLE

1/2 78

1/3 24.5