Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2026-06-21 · 19:05

THE PREMIER CUP (HANDICAP)

Race 7

Group 3 GOOD 1400m Course A 10 runners
Track detail & race-day changes (3)
Penetrometer 2.71 #7 LUCKY WITH YOU — Jockey Change #7 LUCKY WITH YOU — Weight Change #9 WINNING OVATION — Weight Change

Result

Official · 1:20.38
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 6 LITTLE PARADISE Closed strongly TT 1:20.38 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K H Ting 4 3.1 —
2 1 GALAXY PATCH Closed strongly B-/TT- K Teetan · B Crawford 3 20.0 N
3 7 LUCKY WITH YOU Led early C L Chau · F C Lor 8 74.0 1-3/4
4 10 SIX PACK Closed strongly B A Badel · D J Whyte 5 9.3 1-3/4
5 9 WINNING OVATION TT J Moreira · A S Cruz 9 2.6 2-1/4
6 8 CRIMSON FLASH Closed strongly B A Atzeni · M Newnham 10 22.0 3-1/2
7 5 TOMODACHI KOKOROE B/TT C Y Ho · D A Hayes 6 32.0 4
8 4 COPARTNER PRANCE XB H Bowman · K W Lui 7 10.0 4-1/2
9 2 RAGING BLIZZARD P B Avdulla · J Size 2 7.9 4-3/4
10 3 PATCH OF THETA XB E Brown · K W Lui 1 23.0 5-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 ("THE PREMIER CUP (HANDICAP)") at Sha Tin on 2026-06-21 was Group 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. LITTLE PARADISE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K H Ting, won, with GALAXY PATCH second and LUCKY WITH YOU third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.6 favourite WINNING OVATION finished 5th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. LITTLE PARADISE—2. GALAXY PATCH+0.05L3. LUCKY WITH YOU+1.75L4. SIX PACK+1.75L5. WINNING OVATION+2.25L6. CRIMSON FLASH+3.5L7. TOMODACHI KOKOROE+4L8. COPARTNER PRANCE+4.5L9. RAGING BLIZZARD+4.75L10. PATCH OF THETA+5.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick WINNING OVATION (53.2%) finished 5th — the winner LITTLE PARADISE was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 9 WINNING OVATION 53.2% 1.88 5
2 6 LITTLE PARADISE 10.9% 9.17 1
3 2 RAGING BLIZZARD 8.6% 11.62 9
4 10 SIX PACK 7.0% 14.36 4
5 1 GALAXY PATCH 5.4% 18.55 2
6 4 COPARTNER PRANCE 4.3% 23.37 8
7 8 CRIMSON FLASH 3.7% 26.98 6
8 7 LUCKY WITH YOU 2.7% 36.75 3
9 3 PATCH OF THETA 2.1% 46.89 10
10 5 TOMODACHI KOKOROE 2.1% 47.32 7
WINNING OVATIONLITTLE PARADISE — wonRAGING BLIZZARDSIX PACKGALAXY PATCHCOPARTNER PRANCECRIMSON FLASHLUCKY WITH YOUPATCH OF THETATOMODACHI KOKOROE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 31

PLACE

1 42.5

6 13

7 160

QUINELLA

1,6 253

QUINELLA PLACE

1,6 82.5

1,7 1,037.5

6,7 396.5

FORECAST

6,1 458

TIERCE

6,1,7 11,444

TRIO

1,6,7 3,597

FIRST 4

1,6,7,10 5,289

QUARTET

6,1,7,10 99,923

All pools (3 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

4,12>3,11/1,6,7 802,889

6TH DOUBLE

3,11/1 114

3,11/6 85

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

3,4,12/4,12>3,11/Any Combination 7,232