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Sha Tin · 2026-06-21 · 11:05

THE PREMIER CUP (HANDICAP)

Race 7

Group 3 GOOD 1400m Course A 10 runners

Race 7 ("THE PREMIER CUP (HANDICAP)") at Sha Tin on 2026-06-21 was Group 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. LITTLE PARADISE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K H Ting, won, with GALAXY PATCH second and LUCKY WITH YOU third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.6 favourite WINNING OVATION finished 5th.

Track detail & race-day changes (3)
Penetrometer 2.71 #7 LUCKY WITH YOU — Jockey Change #7 LUCKY WITH YOU — Weight Change #9 WINNING OVATION — Weight Change

Result

Official · 1:20.38
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 6 LITTLE PARADISE Closed strongly TT 1:20.38 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K H Ting 4 3.1
2 1 GALAXY PATCH Closed strongly B-/TT- K Teetan · B Crawford 3 20.0 N
3 7 LUCKY WITH YOU Led early C L Chau · F C Lor 8 74.0 1-3/4
4 10 SIX PACK Closed strongly B A Badel · D J Whyte 5 9.3 1-3/4
5 9 WINNING OVATION TT J Moreira · A S Cruz 9 2.6 2-1/4
6 8 CRIMSON FLASH Closed strongly B A Atzeni · M Newnham 10 22.0 3-1/2
7 5 TOMODACHI KOKOROE B/TT C Y Ho · D A Hayes 6 32.0 4
8 4 COPARTNER PRANCE XB H Bowman · K W Lui 7 10.0 4-1/2
9 2 RAGING BLIZZARD P B Avdulla · J Size 2 7.9 4-3/4
10 3 PATCH OF THETA XB E Brown · K W Lui 1 23.0 5-1/2

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. LITTLE PARADISE2. GALAXY PATCH+0.05L3. LUCKY WITH YOU+1.75L4. SIX PACK+1.75L5. WINNING OVATION+2.25L6. CRIMSON FLASH+3.5L7. TOMODACHI KOKOROE+4L8. COPARTNER PRANCE+4.5L9. RAGING BLIZZARD+4.75L10. PATCH OF THETA+5.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick WINNING OVATION (53.2%) finished 5th — the winner LITTLE PARADISE was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 9 WINNING OVATION 53.2% 1.88 5
2 6 LITTLE PARADISE 10.9% 9.17 1
3 2 RAGING BLIZZARD 8.6% 11.62 9
4 10 SIX PACK 7.0% 14.36 4
5 1 GALAXY PATCH 5.4% 18.55 2
6 4 COPARTNER PRANCE 4.3% 23.37 8
7 8 CRIMSON FLASH 3.7% 26.98 6
8 7 LUCKY WITH YOU 2.7% 36.75 3
9 3 PATCH OF THETA 2.1% 46.89 10
10 5 TOMODACHI KOKOROE 2.1% 47.32 7
WINNING OVATIONLITTLE PARADISE — wonRAGING BLIZZARDSIX PACKGALAXY PATCHCOPARTNER PRANCECRIMSON FLASHLUCKY WITH YOUPATCH OF THETATOMODACHI KOKOROE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 31

PLACE

1 42.5

6 13

7 160

QUINELLA

1,6 253

QUINELLA PLACE

1,6 82.5

1,7 1,037.5

6,7 396.5

FORECAST

6,1 458

TIERCE

6,1,7 11,444

TRIO

1,6,7 3,597

FIRST 4

1,6,7,10 5,289

QUARTET

6,1,7,10 99,923

All pools (3 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

4,12>3,11/1,6,7 802,889

6TH DOUBLE

3,11/1 114

3,11/6 85

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

3,4,12/4,12>3,11/Any Combination 7,232