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Sha Tin · 2026-06-21 · 12:15

THE PREMIER PLATE (HANDICAP)

Race 9

Group 3 GOOD 1800m Course A 11 runners

Race 9 ("THE PREMIER PLATE (HANDICAP)") at Sha Tin on 2026-06-21 was Group 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. BEAUTY JOY, ridden by J Moreira and trained by A S Cruz, won, with LIGHT YEARS CHARM second and ROMANTIC THOR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.9 favourite NAUTICAL FORCE finished 8th.

Track detail & race-day changes (4)
Penetrometer 2.71 #12 KA YING GENERATION — Weight Change #6 CALIFORNIATOTALITY — Weight Change #7 SILVERY BREEZE — Weight Change #9 AWESOME FLUKE — Code 92

Result

Official · 1:47.96
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 5 BEAUTY JOY Closed strongly TT 1:47.96 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · A S Cruz 1 6.5
2 3 LIGHT YEARS CHARM Closed strongly CP/TT C L Chau · D Eustace 3 14.0 1/2
3 11 ROMANTIC THOR XB/TT Y L Chung · C S Shum 9 8.9 1-1/4
4 7 SILVERY BREEZE Closed strongly CP/TT A Atzeni · D Eustace 11 11.0 1-1/2
5 12 KA YING GENERATION Closed strongly CP/TT M F Poon · P C Ng 5 10.0 1-3/4
6 1 CAP FERRAT Closed strongly A Badel · K W Lui 8 9.0 2-1/2
7 2 SUNLIGHT POWER H Bowman · P F Yiu 10 7.0 3
8 10 NAUTICAL FORCE Closed strongly K Teetan · J Size 6 3.9 3-1/2
9 8 GENTLEMEN LEGACY B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz 4 10.0 3-3/4
10 4 CHANCHENG GLORY XB-/B E Brown · K W Lui 7 22.0 4
11 6 CALIFORNIATOTALITY Led early B/TT L Hewitson · A S Cruz 2 21.0 7-3/4
WV 9 AWESOME FLUKE P/TT M L Yeung · P F Yiu

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. BEAUTY JOY2. LIGHT YEARS CHARM+0.5L3. ROMANTIC THOR+1.25L4. SILVERY BREEZE+1.5L5. KA YING GENERATION+1.75L6. CAP FERRAT+2.5L7. SUNLIGHT POWER+3L8. NAUTICAL FORCE+3.5L9. GENTLEMEN LEGACY+3.75L10. CHANCHENG GLORY+4L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick NAUTICAL FORCE (25.1%) finished 8th — the winner BEAUTY JOY was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 10 NAUTICAL FORCE 25.1% 3.98 8
2 5 BEAUTY JOY 18.1% 5.51 1
3 1 CAP FERRAT 12.9% 7.73 6
4 3 LIGHT YEARS CHARM 6.7% 14.93 2
5 12 KA YING GENERATION 6.3% 15.85 5
6 7 SILVERY BREEZE 6.2% 16.09 4
7 6 CALIFORNIATOTALITY 5.9% 16.81 11
8 11 ROMANTIC THOR 5.6% 17.79 3
9 8 GENTLEMEN LEGACY 5.4% 18.37 9
10 2 SUNLIGHT POWER 4.3% 23.14 7
11 4 CHANCHENG GLORY 3.2% 30.77 10
NAUTICAL FORCEBEAUTY JOY — wonCAP FERRATLIGHT YEARS CHARMKA YING GENERATIONSILVERY BREEZECALIFORNIATOTALITYROMANTIC THORGENTLEMEN LEGACYSUNLIGHT POWERCHANCHENG GLORY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 65.5

PLACE

3 44.5

5 24.5

11 29.5

QUINELLA

3,5 468

QUINELLA PLACE

3,5 148.5

3,11 207.5

5,11 114

FORECAST

5,3 889

TIERCE

5,3,11 7,899

TRIO

3,5,11 1,318

FIRST 4

3,5,7,11 2,753

QUARTET

5,3,11,7 61,875

All pools (2 more)

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

1,5,10/3,5,11 867,482

8TH DOUBLE

10/3 2,557.5

10/5 5,704.5