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Sha Tin · 2026-06-27 · 13:15

TAN SHAN RIVER HANDICAP

Race 11

Class 3 GOOD 1400m Course B 14 runners

Race 11 ("TAN SHAN RIVER HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-06-27 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. SOVEREIGN FUND, ridden by K Teetan and trained by B Crawford, won, with AEROINVINCIBLE second and CIRCUIT CHAMPION third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.3 favourite CIRCUIT CHAMPION finished 3rd.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998 Hammer 8.9

Result

Official · 1:20.92
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 5 SOVEREIGN FUND Closed strongly CP 1:20.92 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · B Crawford 3 51.0
2 2 AEROINVINCIBLE Closed strongly H/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng 10 9.8 1/2
3 6 CIRCUIT CHAMPION Closed strongly CP/TT Z Purton · C S Shum 9 2.3 3/4
4 7 DO YOUR PART XB/TT H Bowman · K W Lui 7 4.2 1-3/4
5 9 MEGASTAR HEART J Moreira · C Fownes 2 13.0 2-1/2
6 11 GOLDEN CHAMP Led early V/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 14 133.0 3
7 4 FIT FOR BEAUTY Closed strongly H E Brown · J Size 1 5.4 3-3/4
8 3 CHIU CHOW SPIRIT Closed strongly B/TT P N Wong · K L Man 6 29.0 4-1/4
9 8 WINDLORD H/TT K C Leung · W K Mo 8 69.0 4-3/4
10 13 THUNDER ACTION Closed strongly M L Yeung · W Y So 4 29.0 5-1/4
11 1 CONTINENT EXPRESS Closed strongly XB J Orman · D Eustace 5 68.0 5-1/2
12 12 THRIVING BROTHERS TT M Chadwick · C H Yip 13 27.0 6-3/4
13 10 STORMING DRAGON B/TT A Badel · J Richards 11 44.0 7-1/2
14 14 GRIT SPIRIT XB/CP1/TT M F Poon · F C Lor 12 133.0 12-1/2
0 VULCANUS B · Y S Tsui
0 STAY COSMIC · D A Hayes

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SOVEREIGN FUND2. AEROINVINCIBLE+0.5L3. CIRCUIT CHAMPION+0.75L4. DO YOUR PART+1.75L5. MEGASTAR HEART+2.5L6. GOLDEN CHAMP+3L7. FIT FOR BEAUTY+3.75L8. CHIU CHOW SPIRIT+4.25L9. WINDLORD+4.75L10. THUNDER ACTION+5.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick CIRCUIT CHAMPION (37.3%) finished 3rd — the winner SOVEREIGN FUND was rated #8. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 6 CIRCUIT CHAMPION 37.3% 2.68 3
2 7 DO YOUR PART 18.4% 5.44 4
3 4 FIT FOR BEAUTY 10.1% 9.89 7
4 2 AEROINVINCIBLE 6.5% 15.37 2
5 9 MEGASTAR HEART 5.2% 19.13 5
6 12 THRIVING BROTHERS 4.3% 23.10 12
7 10 STORMING DRAGON 4.1% 24.28 13
8 5 SOVEREIGN FUND 3.2% 31.03 1
9 13 THUNDER ACTION 2.4% 41.83 10
10 8 WINDLORD 2.3% 44.42 9
11 3 CHIU CHOW SPIRIT 2.1% 46.62 8
12 1 CONTINENT EXPRESS 1.9% 52.32 11
13 11 GOLDEN CHAMP 1.2% 81.94 6
14 14 GRIT SPIRIT 0.8% 119.85 14
CIRCUIT CHAMPIONDO YOUR PARTFIT FOR BEAUTYAEROINVINCIBLEMEGASTAR HEARTTHRIVING BROTHERSSTORMING DRAGONSOVEREIGN FUND — wonTHUNDER ACTIONWINDLORDCHIU CHOW SPIRITCONTINENT EXPRESSGOLDEN CHAMPGRIT SPIRIT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 518.5

PLACE

2 25.5

5 93.5

6 12.5

QUINELLA

2,5 1,639

QUINELLA PLACE

2,5 436

2,6 45.5

5,6 204.5

FORECAST

5,2 3,384

TIERCE

5,2,6 9,748

TRIO

2,5,6 854

FIRST 4

2,5,6,7 639

QUARTET

5,2,6,7 27,561

All pools (4 more)

10TH DOUBLE

6/2 24.5

6/5 687.5

2ND TREBLE

1/6/2 131

1/6/5 4,623

5TH DOUBLE TRIO

6,7,11/2,5,6 68,746

SIX UP

4,8/3,6/4,7/1,14/6,11/2,5 13,421

8/6/4/1/6/5 2,111,085

4 [A Atzeni]

5 [B Crawford]