沙田 · 2026-06-27 · 13:15
TAN SHAN RIVER HANDICAP
第 11場
2026-06-27沙田第11場「TAN SHAN RIVER HANDICAP」，Class 3，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、B Crawford訓練的SOVEREIGN FUND勝出。AEROINVINCIBLE獲得亞軍；CIRCUIT CHAMPION獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.3倍大熱門CIRCUIT CHAMPION跑獲第3名。
場地詳情
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SOVEREIGN FUND 後段發力 CP 1:20.92 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 3 | 51.0 | — |
| 2 | 2 | AEROINVINCIBLE 後段發力 H/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 10 | 9.8 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 6 | CIRCUIT CHAMPION 後段發力 CP/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 9 | 2.3 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | DO YOUR PART XB/TT H Bowman · K W Lui | H Bowman | K W Lui | 7 | 4.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 9 | MEGASTAR HEART J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 2 | 13.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 11 | GOLDEN CHAMP 早段領放 V/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 14 | 133.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 4 | FIT FOR BEAUTY 後段發力 H E Brown · J Size | E Brown | J Size | 1 | 5.4 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | CHIU CHOW SPIRIT 後段發力 B/TT P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 6 | 29.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | WINDLORD H/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 8 | 69.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 13 | THUNDER ACTION 後段發力 M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 4 | 29.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 1 | CONTINENT EXPRESS 後段發力 XB J Orman · D Eustace | J Orman | D Eustace | 5 | 68.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 12 | THRIVING BROTHERS TT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 13 | 27.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 13 | 10 | STORMING DRAGON B/TT A Badel · J Richards | A Badel | J Richards | 11 | 44.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 14 | 14 | GRIT SPIRIT XB/CP1/TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 12 | 133.0 | 12-1/2 |
| — | 0 | VULCANUS B · Y S Tsui | — | Y S Tsui | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | STAY COSMIC · D A Hayes | — | D A Hayes | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | CIRCUIT CHAMPION | 37.3% | 2.68 | 3 |
| 2 | 7 | DO YOUR PART | 18.4% | 5.44 | 4 |
| 3 | 4 | FIT FOR BEAUTY | 10.1% | 9.89 | 7 |
| 4 | 2 | AEROINVINCIBLE | 6.5% | 15.37 | 2 |
| 5 | 9 | MEGASTAR HEART | 5.2% | 19.13 | 5 |
| 6 | 12 | THRIVING BROTHERS | 4.3% | 23.10 | 12 |
| 7 | 10 | STORMING DRAGON | 4.1% | 24.28 | 13 |
| 8 | 5 | SOVEREIGN FUND | 3.2% | 31.03 | 1 |
| 9 | 13 | THUNDER ACTION | 2.4% | 41.83 | 10 |
| 10 | 8 | WINDLORD | 2.3% | 44.42 | 9 |
| 11 | 3 | CHIU CHOW SPIRIT | 2.1% | 46.62 | 8 |
| 12 | 1 | CONTINENT EXPRESS | 1.9% | 52.32 | 11 |
| 13 | 11 | GOLDEN CHAMP | 1.2% | 81.94 | 6 |
| 14 | 14 | GRIT SPIRIT | 0.8% | 119.85 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 518.5
PLACE
2 25.5
5 93.5
6 12.5
QUINELLA
2,5 1,639
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 436
2,6 45.5
5,6 204.5
FORECAST
5,2 3,384
TIERCE
5,2,6 9,748
TRIO
2,5,6 854
FIRST 4
2,5,6,7 639
QUARTET
5,2,6,7 27,561
全部彩池（另 4 項）
10TH DOUBLE
6/2 24.5
6/5 687.5
2ND TREBLE
1/6/2 131
1/6/5 4,623
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
6,7,11/2,5,6 68,746
SIX UP
4,8/3,6/4,7/1,14/6,11/2,5 13,421
8/6/4/1/6/5 2,111,085
4 [A Atzeni] —
5 [B Crawford] —