沙田 · 2026-06-27 · 09:30
NAM CHUNG RIVER HANDICAP
第 4場
2026-06-27沙田第4場「NAM CHUNG RIVER HANDICAP」,Class 4,途程2000米,跑道評為GOOD。由K C Leung策騎、W K Mo訓練的SUPER GOLDENDRAGON勝出。STAR BROSE獲得亞軍;ENTHRALLED獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.7倍大熱門NOISY BOY跑獲第7名。
場地詳情
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SUPER GOLDENDRAGON 後段發力 BO/TT 2:01.59 ▶ 重播 (在新分頁開啟) K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 8 | 7.3 | — |
| 2 | 14 | STAR BROSE 後段發力 CP/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 2 | 5.7 | N |
| 3 | 4 | ENTHRALLED 後段發力 H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 7 | 4.9 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | RELIABLE DAD 後段發力 XB B Avdulla · D J Hall | B Avdulla | D J Hall | 10 | 7.7 | 1 |
| 5 | 11 | ROMANTIC FANTASY 後段發力 A Badel · J Richards | A Badel | J Richards | 12 | 36.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | OCEAN IMPACT CP/SR K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 5 | 15.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 1 | NOISY BOY TT H Y Yuen · C H Yip | H Y Yuen | C H Yip | 1 | 3.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 2 | DOUBLE WIN 後段發力 V/XB/TT C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 11 | 17.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | MASSIVE GLORY CP/TT A Atzeni · F C Lor | A Atzeni | F C Lor | 6 | 90.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 12 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY B/TT Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 4 | 18.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 6 | VOLCANIC SPARK 後段發力 B M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 13 | 28.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 13 | ON THE LASH 早段領放 B/TT L Hewitson · P C Ng | L Hewitson | P C Ng | 9 | 34.0 | 9 |
| 13 | 5 | FAST SPEED CP2/TT H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 3 | 76.0 | 18-1/4 |
| 14 | 3 | CHARITY TOGETHER B/TT E Brown · D Eustace | E Brown | D Eustace | 14 | 85.0 | 22-3/4 |
| — | 0 | SERANGOON B/TT · A S Cruz | — | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | MISSION GIANT V · B Crawford | — | B Crawford | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SUPER GOLDENDRAGON | 23.5% | 4.25 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | ENTHRALLED | 18.2% | 5.50 | 3 |
| 3 | 1 | NOISY BOY | 12.3% | 8.12 | 7 |
| 4 | 14 | STAR BROSE | 8.6% | 11.65 | 2 |
| 5 | 9 | RELIABLE DAD | 7.2% | 13.97 | 4 |
| 6 | 10 | OCEAN IMPACT | 4.9% | 20.48 | 6 |
| 7 | 2 | DOUBLE WIN | 4.7% | 21.06 | 8 |
| 8 | 13 | ON THE LASH | 4.3% | 23.10 | 12 |
| 9 | 6 | VOLCANIC SPARK | 3.9% | 25.91 | 11 |
| 10 | 12 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY | 3.2% | 31.74 | 10 |
| 11 | 11 | ROMANTIC FANTASY | 2.8% | 35.60 | 5 |
| 12 | 5 | FAST SPEED | 2.8% | 35.63 | 13 |
| 13 | 3 | CHARITY TOGETHER | 2.0% | 49.41 | 14 |
| 14 | 8 | MASSIVE GLORY | 1.6% | 62.37 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬:橫軸為模型概率,縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致;金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算,並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 73
PLACE
4 17.5
7 25
14 18
QUINELLA
7,14 234.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 57.5
4,14 51
7,14 77.5
FORECAST
7,14 431
TIERCE
7,14,4 1,526
TRIO
4,7,14 247
FIRST 4
4,7,9,14 486
QUARTET
7,14,4,9 11,437
全部彩池(另 1 項)
3RD DOUBLE
2/7 546.5
2/14 119.5