沙田 · 2026-06-27 · 12:40
SHEK SHEUNG RIVER HANDICAP
第 10場
2026-06-27沙田第10場「SHEK SHEUNG RIVER HANDICAP」，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、B Crawford訓練的MR INCREDIBLE勝出。EMBRACE ABERDEEN獲得亞軍；THUNDER KIT獲得季軍。頭馬以1.2倍大熱姿態勝出。
場地詳情及賽日變動（1）
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | MR INCREDIBLE 1:08.47 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 2 | 1.2 | — |
| 2 | 11 | EMBRACE ABERDEEN CP/TT A Atzeni · F C Lor | A Atzeni | F C Lor | 12 | 53.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 7 | THUNDER KIT H C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 11 | 25.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | CITY GOLD BANNER TT J Orman · J Richards | J Orman | J Richards | 8 | 41.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 4 | ROYAL BLITZ XB H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 6 | 34.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 2 | HAPPY INDEX TT P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 7 | 10.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 3 | CHATEAUNEUF B/TT L Ferraris · D A Hayes | L Ferraris | D A Hayes | 13 | 124.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | THOUSAND SPIRIT L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 9 | 37.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | LIFELINE EXPRESS E B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 3 | 28.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 1 | GUSTOSISIMO TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 5 | 8.1 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | STANLEY EXPRESS H-/PC-/TT R Kingscote · P C Ng | R Kingscote | P C Ng | 10 | 235.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 10 | DOUBLE MONEY TT Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 14 | 177.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 13 | 14 | SUGAR SUGAR B/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 1 | 83.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 14 | 13 | VIGOR HAPPINESS H H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 4 | 295.0 | 23-1/2 |
| — | 0 | KING MILES B/TT · K W Lui | — | K W Lui | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | MOUNT EVEREST · W Y So | — | W Y So | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | MR INCREDIBLE | 38.0% | 2.63 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | GUSTOSISIMO | 20.1% | 4.98 | 10 |
| 3 | 7 | THUNDER KIT | 6.3% | 15.79 | 3 |
| 4 | 9 | THOUSAND SPIRIT | 5.8% | 17.29 | 8 |
| 5 | 11 | EMBRACE ABERDEEN | 4.9% | 20.28 | 2 |
| 6 | 8 | LIFELINE EXPRESS | 4.9% | 20.51 | 9 |
| 7 | 4 | ROYAL BLITZ | 4.8% | 20.79 | 5 |
| 8 | 2 | HAPPY INDEX | 3.9% | 25.33 | 6 |
| 9 | 14 | SUGAR SUGAR | 3.5% | 28.61 | 13 |
| 10 | 3 | CHATEAUNEUF | 2.5% | 40.01 | 7 |
| 11 | 5 | CITY GOLD BANNER | 2.1% | 46.96 | 4 |
| 12 | 12 | STANLEY EXPRESS | 1.3% | 78.08 | 11 |
| 13 | 10 | DOUBLE MONEY | 0.9% | 107.78 | 12 |
| 14 | 13 | VIGOR HAPPINESS | 0.8% | 117.72 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 12.5
PLACE
6 10.1
7 32
11 57.5
QUINELLA
6,11 177.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,7 42.5
6,11 69.5
7,11 510
FORECAST
6,11 222
TIERCE
6,11,7 1,794
TRIO
6,7,11 582
FIRST 4
5,6,7,11 2,165
QUARTET
6,11,7,5 17,594
全部彩池（另 1 項）
9TH DOUBLE
1/6 92.5
1/11 365