沙田 · 2026-06-27 · 08:00
KAM TIN RIVER HANDICAP
第 1場
2026-06-27沙田第1場「KAM TIN RIVER HANDICAP」，Class 5，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由P N Wong策騎、K L Man訓練的CIRCUIT VICTORY勝出。LAKESHORE HERO獲得亞軍；ALWAYS FLUKE獲得季軍。5.2倍大熱門ALWAYS FLUKE跑獲第3名。
場地詳情及賽日變動（1）
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | CIRCUIT VICTORY B/TT 1:09.04 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 13 | 15.0 | — |
| 2 | 4 | LAKESHORE HERO Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 12 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 3 | ALWAYS FLUKE B/H/TT J Orman · W Y So | J Orman | W Y So | 5 | 5.2 | 2 |
| 4 | 12 | MULTIDUTCH B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 9 | 119.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 13 | SONIC BOOM TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 7 | 9.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 8 | DASH B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 3 | 23.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | AQUAMAN B/TT R Kingscote · C W Chang | R Kingscote | C W Chang | 10 | 63.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | HEROIC MASTER B-/CP2/TT A Badel · Y S Tsui | A Badel | Y S Tsui | 1 | 11.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | WINNING DIAMOND E H Bowman · C H Yip | H Bowman | C H Yip | 4 | 11.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 11 | ISLAND BREEZES B/TT L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 14 | 52.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 14 | TAIHANG SCENERY TT E C W Wong · C S Shum | E C W Wong | C S Shum | 8 | 19.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 5 | SOLAR RIVER CP/TT H Y Yuen · K H Ting | H Y Yuen | K H Ting | 2 | 6.5 | 6-3/4 |
| 13 | 1 | AUTUMN VIBES K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 6 | 5.3 | 7-1/4 |
| 14 | 7 | NO OTHER CHOICE B1/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 11 | 10.0 | 15-1/4 |
| — | 0 | TAI VICTORY CP/H/TT · J Richards | — | J Richards | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | NOBLE FANS B/TT · J Size | — | J Size | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SOLAR RIVER | 16.5% | 6.05 | 12 |
| 2 | 7 | NO OTHER CHOICE | 14.0% | 7.15 | 14 |
| 3 | 9 | WINNING DIAMOND | 12.1% | 8.27 | 9 |
| 4 | 1 | AUTUMN VIBES | 11.7% | 8.55 | 13 |
| 5 | 4 | LAKESHORE HERO | 7.9% | 12.66 | 2 |
| 6 | 3 | ALWAYS FLUKE | 7.3% | 13.64 | 3 |
| 7 | 13 | SONIC BOOM | 5.6% | 17.82 | 5 |
| 8 | 14 | TAIHANG SCENERY | 5.5% | 18.18 | 11 |
| 9 | 2 | HEROIC MASTER | 5.2% | 19.33 | 8 |
| 10 | 10 | CIRCUIT VICTORY | 3.6% | 28.05 | 1 |
| 11 | 6 | AQUAMAN | 3.1% | 31.92 | 7 |
| 12 | 8 | DASH | 2.7% | 36.78 | 6 |
| 13 | 11 | ISLAND BREEZES | 2.6% | 37.99 | 10 |
| 14 | 12 | MULTIDUTCH | 2.2% | 46.48 | 4 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 153.5
PLACE
3 18.5
4 33.5
10 45.5
QUINELLA
4,10 637.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 103
3,10 151
4,10 230.5
FORECAST
10,4 1,566
TIERCE
10,4,3 9,684
TRIO
3,4,10 1,653
FIRST 4
3,4,10,12 50,435
QUARTET
10,4,3,12 928,701