沙田 · 2026-06-27 · 08:30
KAM TIN RIVER HANDICAP
第 2場
2026-06-27沙田第2場「KAM TIN RIVER HANDICAP」，Class 5，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由J Moreira策騎、C Fownes訓練的VERBIER勝出。SUNNY Q獲得亞軍；COUNTRY DANCER獲得季軍。頭馬以2.9倍大熱姿態勝出。
場地詳情及賽日變動（2）
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | VERBIER 1:08.94 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 1 | 2.9 | — |
| 2 | 1 | SUNNY Q CP/TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 12 | 5.7 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | COUNTRY DANCER E A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 5 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 7 | ONLY U K C Leung · B Crawford | K C Leung | B Crawford | 8 | 15.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 13 | BINGO BABE CP M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 14 | 9.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 11 | EXCEED THE WISH H E Brown · M Newnham | E Brown | M Newnham | 11 | 52.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | VON BAER B-/V1/TT H Bowman · J Richards | H Bowman | J Richards | 7 | 13.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 14 | SMART TRIO B-/XB-/TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 2 | 27.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 5 | RUNJEET J Orman · D J Whyte | J Orman | D J Whyte | 9 | 23.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 9 | HAPPY BOYS CP1/TT B Avdulla · W K Mo | B Avdulla | W K Mo | 10 | 40.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 4 | RUBY SAILING SR-/TT P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 6 | 12.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 6 | GOOD FORTUNE B/TT Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 13 | 42.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 13 | 8 | CALL TO COMMAND CP-/B1/TT L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 4 | 11.0 | 17-1/2 |
| 14 | 3 | BASIC INSTINCT C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 3 | 19.0 | 18 |
| — | 0 | THOUSAND CUPS TT · A S Cruz | — | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | PERIDOT H/P/TT · D J Hall | — | D J Hall | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | VERBIER | 27.6% | 3.62 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | SUNNY Q | 12.9% | 7.73 | 2 |
| 3 | 8 | CALL TO COMMAND | 12.4% | 8.08 | 13 |
| 4 | 2 | COUNTRY DANCER | 6.6% | 15.22 | 3 |
| 5 | 3 | BASIC INSTINCT | 5.2% | 19.30 | 14 |
| 6 | 5 | RUNJEET | 4.8% | 20.69 | 9 |
| 7 | 4 | RUBY SAILING | 4.7% | 21.17 | 11 |
| 8 | 14 | SMART TRIO | 4.5% | 22.12 | 8 |
| 9 | 7 | ONLY U | 4.4% | 22.48 | 4 |
| 10 | 10 | VON BAER | 4.3% | 23.33 | 7 |
| 11 | 9 | HAPPY BOYS | 3.9% | 25.96 | 10 |
| 12 | 13 | BINGO BABE | 3.3% | 30.08 | 5 |
| 13 | 11 | EXCEED THE WISH | 3.1% | 31.78 | 6 |
| 14 | 6 | GOOD FORTUNE | 2.2% | 45.82 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 29.5
PLACE
1 20.5
2 34
12 15
QUINELLA
1,12 103
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 100.5
1,12 46
2,12 60.5
FORECAST
12,1 194
TIERCE
12,1,2 800
TRIO
1,2,12 209
FIRST 4
1,2,7,12 740
QUARTET
12,1,2,7 8,594
全部彩池（另 1 項）
1ST DOUBLE
10/1 224
10/12 579.5