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Sha Tin · 2026-06-27 · 09:30

NAM CHUNG RIVER HANDICAP

Race 4

Class 4 GOOD 2000m Course B 14 runners

Race 4 ("NAM CHUNG RIVER HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-06-27 was Class 4 over 2000m, run on GOOD going. SUPER GOLDENDRAGON, ridden by K C Leung and trained by W K Mo, won, with STAR BROSE second and ENTHRALLED third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.7 favourite NOISY BOY finished 7th.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.7199999999999998 Hammer 8.9

Result

Official · 2:01.59
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 7 SUPER GOLDENDRAGON Closed strongly BO/TT 2:01.59 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · W K Mo 8 7.3
2 14 STAR BROSE Closed strongly CP/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes 2 5.7 N
3 4 ENTHRALLED Closed strongly H Bowman · J Size 7 4.9 3/4
4 9 RELIABLE DAD Closed strongly XB B Avdulla · D J Hall 10 7.7 1
5 11 ROMANTIC FANTASY Closed strongly A Badel · J Richards 12 36.0 2-1/4
6 10 OCEAN IMPACT CP/SR K Teetan · D J Whyte 5 15.0 2-3/4
7 1 NOISY BOY TT H Y Yuen · C H Yip 1 3.7 3-1/2
8 2 DOUBLE WIN Closed strongly V/XB/TT C Y Ho · K L Man 11 17.0 4-1/4
9 8 MASSIVE GLORY CP/TT A Atzeni · F C Lor 6 90.0 5
10 12 JOYFUL PROSPERITY B/TT Y L Chung · C S Shum 4 18.0 6
11 6 VOLCANIC SPARK Closed strongly B M F Poon · P F Yiu 13 28.0 6-1/2
12 13 ON THE LASH Led early B/TT L Hewitson · P C Ng 9 34.0 9
13 5 FAST SPEED CP2/TT H T Mo · Y S Tsui 3 76.0 18-1/4
14 3 CHARITY TOGETHER B/TT E Brown · D Eustace 14 85.0 22-3/4
0 SERANGOON B/TT · A S Cruz
0 MISSION GIANT V · B Crawford

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SUPER GOLDENDRAGON2. STAR BROSE+0.05L3. ENTHRALLED+0.75L4. RELIABLE DAD+1L5. ROMANTIC FANTASY+2.25L6. OCEAN IMPACT+2.75L7. NOISY BOY+3.5L8. DOUBLE WIN+4.25L9. MASSIVE GLORY+5L10. JOYFUL PROSPERITY+6L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick SUPER GOLDENDRAGON (23.5%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 7 SUPER GOLDENDRAGON 23.5% 4.25 1
2 4 ENTHRALLED 18.2% 5.50 3
3 1 NOISY BOY 12.3% 8.12 7
4 14 STAR BROSE 8.6% 11.65 2
5 9 RELIABLE DAD 7.2% 13.97 4
6 10 OCEAN IMPACT 4.9% 20.48 6
7 2 DOUBLE WIN 4.7% 21.06 8
8 13 ON THE LASH 4.3% 23.10 12
9 6 VOLCANIC SPARK 3.9% 25.91 11
10 12 JOYFUL PROSPERITY 3.2% 31.74 10
11 11 ROMANTIC FANTASY 2.8% 35.60 5
12 5 FAST SPEED 2.8% 35.63 13
13 3 CHARITY TOGETHER 2.0% 49.41 14
14 8 MASSIVE GLORY 1.6% 62.37 9
SUPER GOLDENDRAGON — wonENTHRALLEDNOISY BOYSTAR BROSERELIABLE DADOCEAN IMPACTDOUBLE WINON THE LASHVOLCANIC SPARKJOYFUL PROSPERITYROMANTIC FANTASYFAST SPEEDCHARITY TOGETHERMASSIVE GLORY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 73

PLACE

4 17.5

7 25

14 18

QUINELLA

7,14 234.5

QUINELLA PLACE

4,7 57.5

4,14 51

7,14 77.5

FORECAST

7,14 431

TIERCE

7,14,4 1,526

TRIO

4,7,14 247

FIRST 4

4,7,9,14 486

QUARTET

7,14,4,9 11,437

All pools (1 more)

3RD DOUBLE

2/7 546.5

2/14 119.5