Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2026-07-01 · 08:00

RACING GOES ON 1600M HANDICAP

Race 1

Class 5 GOOD TO FIRM 1600m Course C 14 runners

Race 1 ("RACING GOES ON 1600M HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-07-01 was Class 5 over 1600m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. FRANTANCK, ridden by H Y Yuen and trained by P C Ng, won, with ORIENTAL SURPRISE second and GENERAL SMART third. The winner led throughout. The 3.3 favourite PERFECTO MOMENTS finished 4th.

Track detail & race-day changes (3)
Penetrometer 2.71 #10 ORIENTAL SURPRISE — Weight Change #13 GOLD TACK — Weight Change #14 CASA LEGEND — Weight Change

Result

Official · 1:34.02
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 3 FRANTANCK Wire to wire TT 1:34.02 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Y Yuen · P C Ng 3 8.2
2 10 ORIENTAL SURPRISE Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · D A Hayes 6 6.9 SH
3 7 GENERAL SMART Closed strongly TT A Atzeni · C S Shum 14 17.0 1/2
4 11 PERFECTO MOMENTS CP M L Yeung · K H Ting 1 3.3 2
5 9 HAPPYDEARHAPPYDEER V/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 4 14.0 2
6 13 GOLD TACK Closed strongly V-/B2 M Chadwick · D J Hall 11 46.0 2-1/4
7 8 ZETTA FORCE TT E Brown · C H Yip 2 30.0 2-3/4
8 5 LUCKY BLESSING TT L Ferraris · W K Mo 12 13.0 2-3/4
9 1 RED BRICK WARRIOR B Avdulla · D Eustace 10 12.0 3
10 12 HARRY'S HERO Closed strongly H K Teetan · P F Yiu 9 11.0 3-1/2
11 6 SUPERB GUY B/XB J Orman · K W Lui 7 13.0 5
12 2 PING HAI COMET H H Bowman · J Size 5 32.0 5-1/4
13 14 CASA LEGEND P/TT M F Poon · C W Chang 13 47.0 11-3/4
14 4 GALE SAGA B/TT- C L Chau · K L Man 8 10.0 18-1/2
0 DRACO TT · W K Mo
0 KASA PAPA CP/TT · A S Cruz

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. FRANTANCK2. ORIENTAL SURPRISE+0.1L3. GENERAL SMART+0.5L4. PERFECTO MOMENTS+2L5. HAPPYDEARHAPPYDEER+2L6. GOLD TACK+2.25L7. ZETTA FORCE+2.75L8. LUCKY BLESSING+2.75L9. RED BRICK WARRIOR+3L10. HARRY'S HERO+3.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick PERFECTO MOMENTS (24.5%) finished 4th — the winner FRANTANCK was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 11 PERFECTO MOMENTS 24.5% 4.09 4
2 10 ORIENTAL SURPRISE 16.4% 6.08 2
3 3 FRANTANCK 8.1% 12.29 1
4 9 HAPPYDEARHAPPYDEER 7.2% 13.85 5
5 12 HARRY'S HERO 6.6% 15.06 10
6 7 GENERAL SMART 6.5% 15.27 3
7 8 ZETTA FORCE 6.2% 16.06 7
8 6 SUPERB GUY 4.8% 20.93 11
9 1 RED BRICK WARRIOR 4.5% 22.00 9
10 5 LUCKY BLESSING 4.1% 24.24 8
11 4 GALE SAGA 3.2% 31.28 14
12 2 PING HAI COMET 3.2% 31.47 12
13 14 CASA LEGEND 2.4% 42.48 13
14 13 GOLD TACK 2.1% 46.99 6
PERFECTO MOMENTSORIENTAL SURPRISEFRANTANCK — wonHAPPYDEARHAPPYDEERHARRY'S HEROGENERAL SMARTZETTA FORCESUPERB GUYRED BRICK WARRIORLUCKY BLESSINGGALE SAGAPING HAI COMETCASA LEGENDGOLD TACK

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 82

PLACE

3 25.5

7 50

10 23

QUINELLA

3,10 312

QUINELLA PLACE

3,7 240

3,10 102.5

7,10 221

FORECAST

3,10 568

TIERCE

3,10,7 8,587

TRIO

3,7,10 1,523

FIRST 4

3,7,10,11 876

QUARTET

3,10,7,11 28,766