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Sha Tin · 2026-07-01 · 10:35

SERVING THE COMMUNITY 1200M HANDICAP

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1200m Course C 12 runners

Race 6 ("SERVING THE COMMUNITY 1200M HANDICAP") at Sha Tin on 2026-07-01 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. SILVER SPURS, ridden by E C W Wong and trained by C Fownes, won, with STORM MIRROR second and STUNNING BUNDLE third. The 3.2 favourite STORM MIRROR finished 2nd.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.71

Result

Official · 1:09.57
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 10 SILVER SPURS TT 1:09.57 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) E C W Wong · C Fownes 10 11.0
2 6 STORM MIRROR B Z Purton · P C Ng 8 3.2 1
3 7 STUNNING BUNDLE H Bowman · J Size 1 4.9 2-1/4
4 8 GREEN FIELD PEARL XB1/TT- E Brown · K W Lui 9 141.0 2-1/4
5 11 SWAGGER BRO A Badel · J Richards 7 13.0 2-1/2
6 12 INCANTO STAR CP A Atzeni · D J Hall 5 7.7 3
7 1 POSITIVE SMILE B/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes 4 12.0 3-1/2
8 3 INCREDIBLE MOMENT R Kingscote · M Newnham 2 5.1 4-1/4
9 9 HIGH RISE VICTORY TT C Y Ho · C H Yip 3 119.0 4-3/4
10 4 BULLISH NOVA H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 11 11.0 4-3/4
11 5 STEADFAST FORT J Orman · W Y So 6 50.0 5-3/4
12 2 GLORY B CP L Hewitson · D J Whyte 12 99.0 10-1/4
0 RUN RUN SUNRISE H/TT · F C Lor
0 ROMANTIC LAOS CP/TT · W K Mo

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SILVER SPURS2. STORM MIRROR+1L3. STUNNING BUNDLE+2.25L4. GREEN FIELD PEARL+2.25L5. SWAGGER BRO+2.5L6. INCANTO STAR+3L7. POSITIVE SMILE+3.5L8. INCREDIBLE MOMENT+4.25L9. HIGH RISE VICTORY+4.75L10. BULLISH NOVA+4.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick STORM MIRROR (36.5%) finished 2nd — the winner SILVER SPURS was rated #7. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 6 STORM MIRROR 36.5% 2.74 2
2 4 BULLISH NOVA 14.5% 6.91 10
3 7 STUNNING BUNDLE 13.4% 7.49 3
4 3 INCREDIBLE MOMENT 6.3% 15.89 8
5 11 SWAGGER BRO 5.7% 17.42 5
6 12 INCANTO STAR 5.7% 17.48 6
7 10 SILVER SPURS 5.6% 18.02 1
8 1 POSITIVE SMILE 4.3% 23.48 7
9 5 STEADFAST FORT 2.9% 33.93 11
10 8 GREEN FIELD PEARL 2.2% 44.89 4
11 2 GLORY B 1.9% 52.17 12
12 9 HIGH RISE VICTORY 1.0% 100.18 9
STORM MIRRORBULLISH NOVASTUNNING BUNDLEINCREDIBLE MOMENTSWAGGER BROINCANTO STARSILVER SPURS — wonPOSITIVE SMILESTEADFAST FORTGREEN FIELD PEARLGLORY BHIGH RISE VICTORY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

10 113

PLACE

6 14

7 20.5

10 34

QUINELLA

6,10 178.5

QUINELLA PLACE

6,7 44

6,10 64

7,10 106

FORECAST

10,6 499

TIERCE

10,6,7 3,337

TRIO

6,7,10 367

FIRST 4

6,7,8,10 5,179

QUARTET

10,6,7,8 91,021

All pools (1 more)

5TH DOUBLE

9/6 15.5

9/10 598