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Sha Tin · 2026-07-01 · 09:00

THE FRIENDS OF HONG KONG ASSOCIATION CUP (HANDICAP)

Race 3

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 1400m Course C 14 runners

Race 3 ("THE FRIENDS OF HONG KONG ASSOCIATION CUP (HANDICAP)") at Sha Tin on 2026-07-01 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. KING OF FIGHTERS, ridden by K Teetan and trained by B Crawford, won, with TRENDY RUSH second and WINNING MACHINE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.6 favourite FLYING SNIPER finished 5th.

Track detail
Penetrometer 2.71

Result

Official · 1:21.92
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 2 KING OF FIGHTERS Closed strongly 1:21.92 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · B Crawford 8 8.8
2 11 TRENDY RUSH Closed strongly CP/XB B Avdulla · J Richards 6 89.0 N
3 14 WINNING MACHINE V/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes 5 4.0 3/4
4 7 GOOD LUCK BABE Closed strongly B/TT H Y Yuen · A S Cruz 9 6.7 1-3/4
5 13 FLYING SNIPER Closed strongly Z Purton · D J Hall 10 3.6 3
6 1 GALLANT EPOCH Closed strongly B/TT E Brown · K W Lui 1 7.6 3-1/4
7 8 LUCK IS BACK B P N Wong · P C Ng 12 88.0 3-1/2
8 10 ARIEL B/TT R Kingscote · D A Hayes 11 11.0 4-3/4
9 3 JOY TOGETHER Closed strongly H1 C L Chau · C W Chang 3 17.0 5-1/4
10 12 CIRCUIT CENTURY B/XB/TT1 L Hewitson · C S Shum 14 34.0 6-1/4
11 5 APEX GLORY Led early TT K C Leung · K L Man 13 52.0 6-3/4
12 6 BRILLIANT WINNER Closed strongly XB/B1/TT M F Poon · F C Lor 7 129.0 7-1/4
13 9 CALL ME SUCCESS L Ferraris · D Eustace 4 17.0 10
14 4 RISING FROM EAST B M L Yeung · C H Yip 2 110.0 52-3/4
0 FORTUNE STAR B/TT · M Newnham
0 M M CONCORD B/TT · W K Mo

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. KING OF FIGHTERS2. TRENDY RUSH+0.05L3. WINNING MACHINE+0.75L4. GOOD LUCK BABE+1.75L5. FLYING SNIPER+3L6. GALLANT EPOCH+3.25L7. LUCK IS BACK+3.5L8. ARIEL+4.75L9. JOY TOGETHER+5.25L10. CIRCUIT CENTURY+6.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick FLYING SNIPER (21.5%) finished 5th — the winner KING OF FIGHTERS was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 13 FLYING SNIPER 21.5% 4.66 5
2 14 WINNING MACHINE 18.0% 5.54 3
3 2 KING OF FIGHTERS 15.1% 6.63 1
4 1 GALLANT EPOCH 9.7% 10.35 6
5 3 JOY TOGETHER 8.4% 11.95 9
6 9 CALL ME SUCCESS 7.5% 13.37 13
7 7 GOOD LUCK BABE 5.6% 17.75 4
8 10 ARIEL 4.1% 24.56 8
9 12 CIRCUIT CENTURY 2.4% 41.88 10
10 8 LUCK IS BACK 2.0% 49.03 7
11 11 TRENDY RUSH 2.0% 49.08 2
12 5 APEX GLORY 1.7% 60.50 11
13 6 BRILLIANT WINNER 1.1% 91.52 12
14 4 RISING FROM EAST 1.0% 99.85 14
FLYING SNIPERWINNING MACHINEKING OF FIGHTERS — wonGALLANT EPOCHJOY TOGETHERCALL ME SUCCESSGOOD LUCK BABEARIELCIRCUIT CENTURYLUCK IS BACKTRENDY RUSHAPEX GLORYBRILLIANT WINNERRISING FROM EAST

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 88.5

PLACE

2 26

11 189

14 15.5

QUINELLA

2,11 3,565.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,11 840.5

2,14 71

11,14 447.5

FORECAST

2,11 5,131

TIERCE

2,11,14 38,086

TRIO

2,11,14 4,352

FIRST 4

2,7,11,14 4,477

QUARTET

2,11,14,7 139,865

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

2,4,13/2,11,14 80,383

2ND DOUBLE

2/2 456.5

2/11 1,075.5