跑馬地 · 2019-12-11
第 3場
2019-12-11跑馬地第3場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、K W Lui訓練的VICTORY IN HAND勝出，贏出2-1/4。SUPER ALLIANCES獲得亞軍；ALL TIMES GRATEFUL獲得季軍。3.3倍大熱門EIGHT TRIGRAMS跑獲第8名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | VICTORY IN HAND TT 1.09.59 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 2 | 3.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 6 | SUPER ALLIANCES TT- U Rispoli · J Size | U Rispoli | J Size | 7 | 5.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 5 | ALL TIMES GRATEFUL T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 6 | 41.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | NAVAS B/XB Z Purton · R Gibson | Z Purton | R Gibson | 5 | 9.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | THE ONE B S De Sousa · Y S Tsui | S De Sousa | Y S Tsui | 9 | 10.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | DIAMOND LEGEND V/TT L Hewitson · A S Cruz | L Hewitson | A S Cruz | 11 | 30.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 11 | HUMBLE STEED K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 12 | 220.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS XB C Y Ho · D J Hall | C Y Ho | D J Hall | 4 | 3.3 | 6 |
| 9 | 4 | HERE COMES TED J Moreira · D E Ferraris | J Moreira | D E Ferraris | 10 | 6.4 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | WIND PACIFIC H1/TT1 A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 1 | 61.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 11 | 9 | WONDER WIN H1/P1/TT- H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 8 | 110.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 2 | FLYING EMPEROR B- H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 3 | 115.0 | 11-1/2 |
| — | 0 | AIOLOS H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS | 24.2% | 4.13 | 8 |
| 2 | 4 | HERE COMES TED | 14.7% | 6.79 | 9 |
| 3 | 8 | VICTORY IN HAND | 13.2% | 7.58 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | NAVAS | 12.4% | 8.06 | 4 |
| 5 | 7 | THE ONE | 11.1% | 8.98 | 5 |
| 6 | 6 | SUPER ALLIANCES | 7.8% | 12.77 | 2 |
| 7 | 10 | WIND PACIFIC | 7.1% | 14.12 | 10 |
| 8 | 12 | DIAMOND LEGEND | 4.7% | 21.27 | 6 |
| 9 | 5 | ALL TIMES GRATEFUL | 1.9% | 53.21 | 3 |
| 10 | 11 | HUMBLE STEED | 1.3% | 78.92 | 7 |
| 11 | 9 | WONDER WIN | 1.0% | 102.50 | 11 |
| 12 | 2 | FLYING EMPEROR | 0.6% | 172.82 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 38
PLACE
5 86
6 17
8 18.5
QUINELLA
6,8 112
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 315
5,8 328
6,8 42.5
TIERCE
8,6,5 5,834
TRIO
5,6,8 1,168
FIRST 4
1,5,6,8 2,866
QUARTET
8,6,5,1 45,965
2ND DOUBLE
2/6 52.5
2/8 343
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 28
A1 —
A2 —