跑馬地 · 2019-12-11
第 8場
2019-12-11跑馬地第8場，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由M Chadwick策騎、P F Yiu訓練的GENTLE BREEZE勝出，贏出1-3/4。VICTORIAM獲得亞軍；HARMONY AND RICH獲得季軍。3.8倍大熱門WINNING METHOD跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | GENTLE BREEZE B 0.56.83 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 3 | 4.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 8 | VICTORIAM B Shinn · K W Lui | B Shinn | K W Lui | 11 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 7 | HARMONY AND RICH H1 Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 9 | 11.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 12 | BEAUT BEAUT H/V A Badel · L Ho | A Badel | L Ho | 6 | 69.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | FRUSTRATED B M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 4 | 15.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 11 | WINNING METHOD B/TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 7 | 3.8 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | CALIFORNIA LEVEE CP/TT C Y Ho · A S Cruz | C Y Ho | A S Cruz | 1 | 19.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | SPECIAL STARS J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 2 | 4.7 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | THE WEATHERMAN L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 5 | 114.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 10 | UTOPIA LIFE B S De Sousa · K L Man | S De Sousa | K L Man | 8 | 6.4 | 5 |
| 11 | 2 | KASI FARASI H/TT H W Lai · K H Ting | H W Lai | K H Ting | 12 | 115.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 5 | DRAGON PIONEER B C Schofield · Y S Tsui | C Schofield | Y S Tsui | 10 | 39.0 | 7-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SPECIAL STARS | 21.1% | 4.74 | 8 |
| 2 | 8 | VICTORIAM | 18.8% | 5.33 | 2 |
| 3 | 11 | WINNING METHOD | 11.4% | 8.75 | 6 |
| 4 | 10 | UTOPIA LIFE | 11.1% | 8.99 | 10 |
| 5 | 6 | FRUSTRATED | 10.4% | 9.59 | 5 |
| 6 | 1 | GENTLE BREEZE | 8.9% | 11.26 | 1 |
| 7 | 7 | HARMONY AND RICH | 6.0% | 16.66 | 3 |
| 8 | 9 | CALIFORNIA LEVEE | 4.4% | 22.61 | 7 |
| 9 | 12 | BEAUT BEAUT | 2.6% | 38.09 | 4 |
| 10 | 2 | KASI FARASI | 2.6% | 39.16 | 11 |
| 11 | 5 | DRAGON PIONEER | 2.0% | 48.92 | 12 |
| 12 | 3 | THE WEATHERMAN | 0.6% | 155.54 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 43
PLACE
1 15
7 37
8 29.5
QUINELLA
1,8 307
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 103.5
1,8 98.5
7,8 188
TIERCE
1,8,7 6,086
TRIO
1,7,8 1,157
FIRST 4
1,7,8,12 9,153
QUARTET
1,8,7,12 121,206
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,6,12/1,7,8 34,363
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 21
7TH DOUBLE
3/1 126.5
3/8 109