跑馬地 · 2020-01-08
第 1場
2020-01-08跑馬地第1場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由G van Niekerk策騎、Y S Tsui訓練的GOOD FOR YOU勝出，贏出HD。SUPER ALLIANCES獲得亞軍；CALIFORNIA RAD獲得季軍。2.2倍大熱門SUPER ALLIANCES跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | GOOD FOR YOU B 1.10.00 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） G van Niekerk · Y S Tsui | G van Niekerk | Y S Tsui | 2 | 9.6 | HD |
| 2 | 11 | SUPER ALLIANCES J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 10 | 2.2 | HD |
| 3 | 9 | CALIFORNIA RAD TT T Piccone · A S Cruz | T Piccone | A S Cruz | 4 | 13.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 4 | THIS IS CHARISMA H C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 1 | 17.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | FOCUS B C Schofield · P F Yiu | C Schofield | P F Yiu | 5 | 4.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 10 | LUCKY MISSILE Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 6 | 23.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 1 | BREEDERS' SKY H K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 3 | 7.7 | 5 |
| 8 | 5 | VIVA COUNCIL H-/V2 M Chadwick · L Ho | M Chadwick | L Ho | 11 | 23.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 8 | BRAVERY AND POWER H/TT K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 8 | 152.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 2 | KING PRINT B T H So · C H Yip | T H So | C H Yip | 7 | 21.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 3 | SO HAPPY B1 A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 9 | 49.0 | 12-3/4 |
| — | 12 | VIGOR CHAMP M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | FOCUS | 30.0% | 3.34 | 5 |
| 2 | 11 | SUPER ALLIANCES | 22.1% | 4.52 | 2 |
| 3 | 10 | LUCKY MISSILE | 15.8% | 6.31 | 6 |
| 4 | 1 | BREEDERS' SKY | 13.1% | 7.65 | 7 |
| 5 | 7 | GOOD FOR YOU | 6.6% | 15.19 | 1 |
| 6 | 9 | CALIFORNIA RAD | 3.4% | 29.39 | 3 |
| 7 | 5 | VIVA COUNCIL | 2.6% | 38.88 | 8 |
| 8 | 3 | SO HAPPY | 2.4% | 41.07 | 11 |
| 9 | 4 | THIS IS CHARISMA | 2.1% | 48.37 | 4 |
| 10 | 2 | KING PRINT | 1.1% | 93.75 | 10 |
| 11 | 8 | BRAVERY AND POWER | 0.9% | 112.74 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 96
PLACE
7 25.5
9 31
11 13
QUINELLA
7,11 89.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,9 132
7,11 36
9,11 49
TIERCE
7,11,9 2,247
TRIO
7,9,11 273
FIRST 4
4,7,9,11 982
QUARTET
7,11,9,4 28,809
3 PICK 1
A2 32.5
A1 —
A3 —