跑馬地 · 2020-01-08
第 5場
2020-01-08跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD。由K Teetan策騎、D J Whyte訓練的WINNING ENDEAVOUR勝出，贏出1/2。EVERYONE'S ELITE獲得亞軍；DOR DOR獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以3.0倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | WINNING ENDEAVOUR 後段發力 XB 1.40.06 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 6 | 3.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 12 | EVERYONE'S ELITE 後段發力 B S De Sousa · K L Man | S De Sousa | K L Man | 12 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 5 | DOR DOR 後段發力 H A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 7 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS 後段發力 B J Moreira · C H Yip | J Moreira | C H Yip | 3 | 3.4 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 2 | FLAME LILY 後段發力 TT G van Niekerk · F C Lor | G van Niekerk | F C Lor | 2 | 5.9 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | ACCLAIMED LIGHT 後段發力 B M Chadwick · P O'Sullivan | M Chadwick | P O'Sullivan | 11 | 21.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | KANBEKI MOLLY SR C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 4 | 24.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 7 | CURLING LUXURY 早段領放 K H Chan · Y S Tsui | K H Chan | Y S Tsui | 10 | 20.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 10 | GALA NIGHT CP- N Callan · J Moore | N Callan | J Moore | 8 | 30.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | BEAUTY ANGEL TT T Piccone · A S Cruz | T Piccone | A S Cruz | 1 | 54.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | FAITHFUL TRINITY H/P/TT C Schofield · R Gibson | C Schofield | R Gibson | 9 | 27.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | GOOD RUNNERS WAY B/TT H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 5 | 111.0 | 10-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS | 35.8% | 2.80 | 4 |
| 2 | 3 | WINNING ENDEAVOUR | 16.6% | 6.02 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | FLAME LILY | 12.8% | 7.82 | 5 |
| 4 | 12 | EVERYONE'S ELITE | 7.2% | 13.82 | 2 |
| 5 | 5 | DOR DOR | 7.0% | 14.23 | 3 |
| 6 | 9 | KANBEKI MOLLY | 6.6% | 15.11 | 7 |
| 7 | 10 | GALA NIGHT | 3.5% | 28.22 | 9 |
| 8 | 1 | ACCLAIMED LIGHT | 3.1% | 32.00 | 6 |
| 9 | 7 | CURLING LUXURY | 2.9% | 34.48 | 8 |
| 10 | 6 | FAITHFUL TRINITY | 2.3% | 42.61 | 11 |
| 11 | 11 | GOOD RUNNERS WAY | 1.5% | 67.86 | 12 |
| 12 | 4 | BEAUTY ANGEL | 0.6% | 178.65 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 30.5
PLACE
3 14.5
5 29.5
12 29.5
QUINELLA
3,12 124.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 56
3,12 50.5
5,12 109.5
TIERCE
3,12,5 1,244
TRIO
3,5,12 347
FIRST 4
3,5,8,12 266
QUARTET
3,12,5,8 5,338
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,5/3,5,12 40,434
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 16
4TH DOUBLE
5/3 125
5/12 86.5