跑馬地 · 2020-01-08
第 8場
2020-01-08跑馬地第8場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、T P Yung訓練的JOYFUL UNION勝出，贏出1/2。SHINING ACE獲得亞軍；BALLISTIC KING獲得季軍。3.6倍大熱門VICTORIAM跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | JOYFUL UNION 1.09.61 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 9 | 7.8 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 2 | SHINING ACE B J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 7 | 4.1 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | BALLISTIC KING C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 5 | 7.4 | 1 |
| 4 | 11 | WINNING FEELING B S De Sousa · D E Ferraris | S De Sousa | D E Ferraris | 4 | 11.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | NORDIC WARRIOR B A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 3 | 8.5 | 2 |
| 6 | 8 | SUPERB DADDY M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 6 | 61.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 6 | VICTORIAM B Shinn · K W Lui | B Shinn | K W Lui | 11 | 3.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | SMART LEADER B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 8 | 17.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | STAR MAJESTIC B T H So · P O'Sullivan | T H So | P O'Sullivan | 12 | 126.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 3 | FEARLESS FIRE B C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 10 | 33.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 10 | THE RUNNER B1 K C Leung · D J Whyte | K C Leung | D J Whyte | 1 | 10.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 7 | HOME MADE B/TT N Callan · Y S Tsui | N Callan | Y S Tsui | 2 | 52.0 | 5-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SHINING ACE | 19.7% | 5.07 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | JOYFUL UNION | 15.6% | 6.40 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | VICTORIAM | 14.5% | 6.89 | 7 |
| 4 | 4 | BALLISTIC KING | 12.6% | 7.91 | 3 |
| 5 | 11 | WINNING FEELING | 10.3% | 9.66 | 4 |
| 6 | 9 | NORDIC WARRIOR | 8.8% | 11.33 | 5 |
| 7 | 5 | SMART LEADER | 5.7% | 17.54 | 8 |
| 8 | 3 | FEARLESS FIRE | 5.5% | 18.31 | 10 |
| 9 | 10 | THE RUNNER | 2.6% | 38.09 | 11 |
| 10 | 7 | HOME MADE | 1.6% | 63.40 | 12 |
| 11 | 8 | SUPERB DADDY | 1.6% | 64.39 | 6 |
| 12 | 12 | STAR MAJESTIC | 1.4% | 72.15 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 78.5
PLACE
1 24.5
2 17
4 20.5
QUINELLA
1,2 142
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 52.5
1,4 78
2,4 44.5
TIERCE
1,2,4 1,213
TRIO
1,2,4 144
FIRST 4
1,2,4,11 351
QUARTET
1,2,4,11 9,047
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 18.5
A3 —
全部彩池（另 1 項）
7TH DOUBLE
4/1 400
4/2 30.5