跑馬地 · 2020-02-05
第 2場
2020-02-05跑馬地第2場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、C S Shum訓練的WINNING WAYS勝出，贏出N。TRAVEL DATUK獲得亞軍；OVERSUBSCRIBED獲得季軍。1.8倍大熱門HAPPY GOOD GUYS跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | WINNING WAYS H/TT 0.57.25 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 7 | 3.5 | N |
| 2 | 10 | TRAVEL DATUK B A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 4 | 17.0 | N |
| 3 | 12 | OVERSUBSCRIBED H/XB J Moreira · D J Hall | J Moreira | D J Hall | 11 | 10.0 | N |
| 4 | 6 | HAPPY GOOD GUYS B C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 1 | 1.8 | 1 |
| 5 | 1 | SHANGHAI MASTER M Chadwick · K W Lui | M Chadwick | K W Lui | 12 | 41.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | LOOK ERAS B/TT K H Chan · Y S Tsui | K H Chan | Y S Tsui | 5 | 14.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | DECISIVE ACTION H W Lai · C H Yip | H W Lai | C H Yip | 9 | 105.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 4 | MR WISEGUY B K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 6 | 46.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 7 | HAPPY WINNER H K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 8 | 176.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 2 | EVERBRAVE N Callan · K L Man | N Callan | K L Man | 3 | 27.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | DR PROACTIVE H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 10 | 23.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | GOUTEN OF GARO B/TT L Hewitson · D E Ferraris | L Hewitson | D E Ferraris | 2 | 31.0 | 5-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | HAPPY GOOD GUYS | 33.5% | 2.98 | 4 |
| 2 | 12 | OVERSUBSCRIBED | 17.6% | 5.67 | 3 |
| 3 | 8 | WINNING WAYS | 16.8% | 5.96 | 1 |
| 4 | 10 | TRAVEL DATUK | 8.9% | 11.18 | 2 |
| 5 | 5 | DR PROACTIVE | 5.7% | 17.52 | 11 |
| 6 | 11 | GOUTEN OF GARO | 5.3% | 18.87 | 12 |
| 7 | 2 | EVERBRAVE | 3.2% | 31.15 | 10 |
| 8 | 1 | SHANGHAI MASTER | 2.6% | 37.98 | 5 |
| 9 | 3 | DECISIVE ACTION | 2.6% | 38.27 | 7 |
| 10 | 4 | MR WISEGUY | 1.9% | 53.61 | 8 |
| 11 | 9 | LOOK ERAS | 1.0% | 97.69 | 6 |
| 12 | 7 | HAPPY WINNER | 0.7% | 133.60 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 35
PLACE
8 12
10 34.5
12 29
QUINELLA
8,10 249.5
QUINELLA PLACE
8,10 66
8,12 49.5
10,12 181.5
TIERCE
8,10,12 2,038
TRIO
8,10,12 571
FIRST 4
6,8,10,12 165
QUARTET
8,10,12,6 5,006
1ST DOUBLE
11/8 1,544
11/10 682
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 12