跑馬地 · 2020-02-05
第 6場
2020-02-05跑馬地第6場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Y Ho策騎、K W Lui訓練的MASSIVE POCKET勝出，贏出1-1/2。SPEED VISION獲得亞軍；RELENTLESS ME獲得季軍。3.5倍大熱門G UNIT跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | MASSIVE POCKET XB 1.09.58 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 12 | 7.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | SPEED VISION B/TT K H Chan · F C Lor | K H Chan | F C Lor | 5 | 17.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 11 | RELENTLESS ME B/XB K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 9 | 7.9 | 2 |
| 4 | 9 | G UNIT G van Niekerk · J Moore | G van Niekerk | J Moore | 2 | 3.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | JUMBO HAPPINESS Z Purton · C Fownes | Z Purton | C Fownes | 3 | 13.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | E STAR H M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 7 | 6.9 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | VERY RICH MAN H/TT H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 11 | 152.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | STARLIGHT B- M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 8 | 18.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | CALIFORNIA TURBO B/TT T Piccone · A S Cruz | T Piccone | A S Cruz | 6 | 6.4 | 6 |
| 10 | 7 | BLOTTING PAPER B/H K C Leung · R Gibson | K C Leung | R Gibson | 4 | 27.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 4 | BABY B A Badel · K H Ting | A Badel | K H Ting | 10 | 7.3 | 14-3/4 |
| — | 2 | SPECIAL STARS J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | G UNIT | 26.5% | 3.78 | 4 |
| 2 | 4 | BABY | 14.1% | 7.11 | 11 |
| 3 | 6 | CALIFORNIA TURBO | 11.2% | 8.92 | 9 |
| 4 | 3 | JUMBO HAPPINESS | 8.9% | 11.24 | 5 |
| 5 | 12 | E STAR | 7.7% | 13.04 | 6 |
| 6 | 11 | RELENTLESS ME | 7.5% | 13.37 | 3 |
| 7 | 5 | MASSIVE POCKET | 6.2% | 16.09 | 1 |
| 8 | 7 | BLOTTING PAPER | 5.5% | 18.20 | 10 |
| 9 | 1 | SPEED VISION | 4.9% | 20.24 | 2 |
| 10 | 10 | STARLIGHT | 4.4% | 22.83 | 8 |
| 11 | 8 | VERY RICH MAN | 3.2% | 31.43 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 71.5
PLACE
1 46.5
5 35
11 28.5
QUINELLA
1,5 1,080.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 306.5
1,11 275
5,11 153.5
TIERCE
5,1,11 19,312
TRIO
1,5,11 2,622
FIRST 4
1,5,9,11 2,784
QUARTET
5,1,11,9 81,475
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,5/1,5,11 223,678
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 20
A2 —
A1 —
5TH DOUBLE
1/1 203.5
1/5 1,537.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,4,9/1,4,5/Any Combination 579