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Happy Valley · 2020-02-05

Race 6

Class 3 GOOD 1200m Course C 11 runners

Result

Official · 1.09.58
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 MASSIVE POCKET XB 1.09.58 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui 12 7.1 1-1/2
2 0 SPEED VISION B/TT K H Chan · F C Lor 5 17.0 1-1/2
3 0 RELENTLESS ME B/XB K Teetan · D J Whyte 9 7.9 2
4 0 G UNIT G van Niekerk · J Moore 2 3.5 2-1/4
5 0 JUMBO HAPPINESS Z Purton · C Fownes 3 13.0 2-1/2
6 0 E STAR H M F Poon · K L Man 7 6.9 3-1/4
7 0 VERY RICH MAN H/TT H T Mo · L Ho 11 152.0 3-1/4
8 0 STARLIGHT B- M Chadwick · C H Yip 8 18.0 4-1/4
9 0 CALIFORNIA TURBO B/TT T Piccone · A S Cruz 6 6.4 6
10 0 BLOTTING PAPER B/H K C Leung · R Gibson 4 27.0 6-1/2
11 0 BABY B A Badel · K H Ting 10 7.3 14-3/4
— 0 SPECIAL STARS J Moreira · J Size — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2020-02-05 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. MASSIVE POCKET, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by 1-1/2, with SPEED VISION second and RELENTLESS ME third. The 3.5 favourite G UNIT finished 4th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MASSIVE POCKET—2. SPEED VISION+1.5L3. RELENTLESS ME+2L4. G UNIT+2.25L5. JUMBO HAPPINESS+2.5L6. E STAR+3.25L7. VERY RICH MAN+3.25L8. STARLIGHT+4.25L9. CALIFORNIA TURBO+6L10. BLOTTING PAPER+6.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2019-20
The model's top pick G UNIT (26.5%) finished 4th — the winner MASSIVE POCKET was rated #7. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 G UNIT 26.5% 3.78 4
2 0 BABY 14.1% 7.11 11
3 0 CALIFORNIA TURBO 11.2% 8.92 9
4 0 JUMBO HAPPINESS 8.9% 11.24 5
5 0 E STAR 7.7% 13.04 6
6 0 RELENTLESS ME 7.5% 13.37 3
7 0 MASSIVE POCKET 6.2% 16.09 1
8 0 BLOTTING PAPER 5.5% 18.20 10
9 0 SPEED VISION 4.9% 20.24 2
10 0 STARLIGHT 4.4% 22.83 8
11 0 VERY RICH MAN 3.2% 31.43 7
G UNITBABYCALIFORNIA TURBOJUMBO HAPPINESSE STARRELENTLESS MEMASSIVE POCKET — wonBLOTTING PAPERSPEED VISIONSTARLIGHTVERY RICH MAN

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 71.5

PLACE

1 46.5

5 35

11 28.5

QUINELLA

1,5 1,080.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,5 306.5

1,11 275

5,11 153.5

TIERCE

5,1,11 19,312

TRIO

1,5,11 2,622

FIRST 4

1,5,9,11 2,784

QUARTET

5,1,11,9 81,475

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

1,4,5/1,5,11 223,678

All pools (3 more)

3 PICK 1

A3 20

A1 —

A2 —

5TH DOUBLE

1/1 203.5

1/5 1,537.5

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

3,4,9/1,4,5/Any Combination 579