Happy Valley · 2020-02-05
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2020-02-05 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. MASSIVE POCKET, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by 1-1/2, with SPEED VISION second and RELENTLESS ME third. The 3.5 favourite G UNIT finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | MASSIVE POCKET XB 1.09.58 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 12 | 7.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | SPEED VISION B/TT K H Chan · F C Lor | K H Chan | F C Lor | 5 | 17.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 11 | RELENTLESS ME B/XB K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 9 | 7.9 | 2 |
| 4 | 9 | G UNIT G van Niekerk · J Moore | G van Niekerk | J Moore | 2 | 3.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | JUMBO HAPPINESS Z Purton · C Fownes | Z Purton | C Fownes | 3 | 13.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | E STAR H M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 7 | 6.9 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | VERY RICH MAN H/TT H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 11 | 152.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | STARLIGHT B- M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 8 | 18.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | CALIFORNIA TURBO B/TT T Piccone · A S Cruz | T Piccone | A S Cruz | 6 | 6.4 | 6 |
| 10 | 7 | BLOTTING PAPER B/H K C Leung · R Gibson | K C Leung | R Gibson | 4 | 27.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 4 | BABY B A Badel · K H Ting | A Badel | K H Ting | 10 | 7.3 | 14-3/4 |
| — | 2 | SPECIAL STARS J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | G UNIT | 26.5% | 3.78 | 4 |
| 2 | 4 | BABY | 14.1% | 7.11 | 11 |
| 3 | 6 | CALIFORNIA TURBO | 11.2% | 8.92 | 9 |
| 4 | 3 | JUMBO HAPPINESS | 8.9% | 11.24 | 5 |
| 5 | 12 | E STAR | 7.7% | 13.04 | 6 |
| 6 | 11 | RELENTLESS ME | 7.5% | 13.37 | 3 |
| 7 | 5 | MASSIVE POCKET | 6.2% | 16.09 | 1 |
| 8 | 7 | BLOTTING PAPER | 5.5% | 18.20 | 10 |
| 9 | 1 | SPEED VISION | 4.9% | 20.24 | 2 |
| 10 | 10 | STARLIGHT | 4.4% | 22.83 | 8 |
| 11 | 8 | VERY RICH MAN | 3.2% | 31.43 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 71.5
PLACE
1 46.5
5 35
11 28.5
QUINELLA
1,5 1,080.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 306.5
1,11 275
5,11 153.5
TIERCE
5,1,11 19,312
TRIO
1,5,11 2,622
FIRST 4
1,5,9,11 2,784
QUARTET
5,1,11,9 81,475
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,5/1,5,11 223,678
All pools (3 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 20
A2 —
A1 —
5TH DOUBLE
1/1 203.5
1/5 1,537.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,4,9/1,4,5/Any Combination 579