Happy Valley · 2020-02-05
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2020-02-05 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. THIS IS CLASS, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by 2, with MERIDIAN GENIUS second and FLYING SWORD third. Victory came as the 1.9 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | THIS IS CLASS CP/H 1.09.50 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 1.9 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | MERIDIAN GENIUS J Moreira · A T Millard | J Moreira | A T Millard | 9 | 3.6 | 2 |
| 3 | 9 | FLYING SWORD CP1 H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 1 | 22.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 3 | FEARLESS FIRE B N Callan · C Fownes | N Callan | C Fownes | 4 | 25.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | SUPER TURBO B Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 10 | 9.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | MAGIC SUPREME XB2/TT1 G van Niekerk · J Moore | G van Niekerk | J Moore | 7 | 44.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | RIGHT HONOURABLE H/P/TT H T Mo · R Gibson | H T Mo | R Gibson | 2 | 32.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 2 | SEVENTH SEA SR L Hewitson · D E Ferraris | L Hewitson | D E Ferraris | 11 | 194.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | SMOOTHIES TT1 A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 3 | 95.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | FLYING GENIUS TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 12 | 6.3 | 6 |
| 11 | 10 | TOP MILITARY M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 8 | 435.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | UNIQUE TREASURE H K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 5 | 202.0 | 8-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | THIS IS CLASS | 28.0% | 3.57 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | MERIDIAN GENIUS | 27.8% | 3.59 | 2 |
| 3 | 6 | FLYING GENIUS | 19.9% | 5.02 | 10 |
| 4 | 1 | SUPER TURBO | 5.1% | 19.61 | 5 |
| 5 | 12 | RIGHT HONOURABLE | 5.1% | 19.63 | 7 |
| 6 | 9 | FLYING SWORD | 4.3% | 23.19 | 3 |
| 7 | 5 | SMOOTHIES | 3.4% | 29.84 | 9 |
| 8 | 3 | FEARLESS FIRE | 2.4% | 42.51 | 4 |
| 9 | 11 | UNIQUE TREASURE | 1.5% | 66.07 | 12 |
| 10 | 7 | MAGIC SUPREME | 1.3% | 77.78 | 6 |
| 11 | 2 | SEVENTH SEA | 0.7% | 141.37 | 8 |
| 12 | 10 | TOP MILITARY | 0.5% | 202.61 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 19.5
PLACE
4 13.5
8 12
9 36.5
QUINELLA
4,8 32.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 16.5
4,9 93.5
8,9 59.5
TIERCE
8,4,9 356
TRIO
4,8,9 149
FIRST 4
3,4,8,9 311
QUARTET
8,4,9,3 2,185
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 19.5
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,7,11/4,8,9 7,259
7TH DOUBLE
11/4 48.5
11/8 131.5
SIX UP
3,8/4,9/1,4/1,5/1,11/4,8 32,316
8/4/1/5/11/8 1,094,878
2 [C Y Ho] —
TREBLE
5/11/4 637
5/11/8 1,121