跑馬地 · 2020-02-05
第 8場
2020-02-05跑馬地第8場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Y Ho策騎、K W Lui訓練的THIS IS CLASS勝出，贏出2。MERIDIAN GENIUS獲得亞軍；FLYING SWORD獲得季軍。頭馬以1.9倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | THIS IS CLASS CP/H 1.09.50 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 1.9 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | MERIDIAN GENIUS J Moreira · A T Millard | J Moreira | A T Millard | 9 | 3.6 | 2 |
| 3 | 9 | FLYING SWORD CP1 H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 1 | 22.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 3 | FEARLESS FIRE B N Callan · C Fownes | N Callan | C Fownes | 4 | 25.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | SUPER TURBO B Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 10 | 9.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 7 | MAGIC SUPREME XB2/TT1 G van Niekerk · J Moore | G van Niekerk | J Moore | 7 | 44.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | RIGHT HONOURABLE H/P/TT H T Mo · R Gibson | H T Mo | R Gibson | 2 | 32.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 2 | SEVENTH SEA SR L Hewitson · D E Ferraris | L Hewitson | D E Ferraris | 11 | 194.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | SMOOTHIES TT1 A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 3 | 95.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | FLYING GENIUS TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 12 | 6.3 | 6 |
| 11 | 10 | TOP MILITARY M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 8 | 435.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | UNIQUE TREASURE H K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 5 | 202.0 | 8-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | THIS IS CLASS | 28.0% | 3.57 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | MERIDIAN GENIUS | 27.8% | 3.59 | 2 |
| 3 | 6 | FLYING GENIUS | 19.9% | 5.02 | 10 |
| 4 | 1 | SUPER TURBO | 5.1% | 19.61 | 5 |
| 5 | 12 | RIGHT HONOURABLE | 5.1% | 19.63 | 7 |
| 6 | 9 | FLYING SWORD | 4.3% | 23.19 | 3 |
| 7 | 5 | SMOOTHIES | 3.4% | 29.84 | 9 |
| 8 | 3 | FEARLESS FIRE | 2.4% | 42.51 | 4 |
| 9 | 11 | UNIQUE TREASURE | 1.5% | 66.07 | 12 |
| 10 | 7 | MAGIC SUPREME | 1.3% | 77.78 | 6 |
| 11 | 2 | SEVENTH SEA | 0.7% | 141.37 | 8 |
| 12 | 10 | TOP MILITARY | 0.5% | 202.61 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 19.5
PLACE
4 13.5
8 12
9 36.5
QUINELLA
4,8 32.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 16.5
4,9 93.5
8,9 59.5
TIERCE
8,4,9 356
TRIO
4,8,9 149
FIRST 4
3,4,8,9 311
QUARTET
8,4,9,3 2,185
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 19.5
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,7,11/4,8,9 7,259
7TH DOUBLE
11/4 48.5
11/8 131.5
SIX UP
3,8/4,9/1,4/1,5/1,11/4,8 32,316
8/4/1/5/11/8 1,094,878
2 [C Y Ho] —
TREBLE
5/11/4 637
5/11/8 1,121