Happy Valley · 2020-02-05
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | NABOO STAR Closed strongly V/TT 1.38.97 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 6 | 8.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | FLYING QUEST Closed strongly B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 1 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | JOLLY HONOUR Closed strongly B/TT G van Niekerk · Y S Tsui | G van Niekerk | Y S Tsui | 2 | 6.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | TRIUMPHANT HORSE Closed strongly B H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 9 | 27.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | BEAR AGAIN SR J Moreira · D E Ferraris | J Moreira | D E Ferraris | 8 | 2.5 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | MIGHTY POWER M L Yeung · T P Yung | M L Yeung | T P Yung | 7 | 145.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | HAR HAR HEART Closed strongly L Hewitson · J Size | L Hewitson | J Size | 12 | 82.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | SMART LEADER B/TT T Piccone · A S Cruz | T Piccone | A S Cruz | 10 | 34.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | MAGNIFICENT Led early Z Purton · L Ho | Z Purton | L Ho | 11 | 5.5 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | EARTH TRILOGY CP/XB/TT N Callan · J Moore | N Callan | J Moore | 3 | 81.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | HORSESAIN BOLT CP K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 4 | 6.4 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | JOYFUL MOMENTS H T Mo · R Gibson | H T Mo | R Gibson | 5 | 217.0 | 9-3/4 |
| — | 0 | PLANET STAR N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2020-02-05 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. NABOO STAR, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by C Fownes, won by 1-1/2, with FLYING QUEST second and JOLLY HONOUR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.5 favourite BEAR AGAIN finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HORSESAIN BOLT | 25.1% | 3.98 | 11 |
| 2 | 0 | NABOO STAR | 19.2% | 5.21 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | BEAR AGAIN | 13.6% | 7.36 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | MAGNIFICENT | 10.1% | 9.85 | 9 |
| 5 | 0 | JOLLY HONOUR | 8.1% | 12.33 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | FLYING QUEST | 7.1% | 14.14 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | SMART LEADER | 5.2% | 19.09 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | TRIUMPHANT HORSE | 3.5% | 28.28 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | MIGHTY POWER | 2.3% | 42.97 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | HAR HAR HEART | 2.1% | 47.10 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | EARTH TRILOGY | 1.9% | 52.97 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | JOYFUL MOMENTS | 1.7% | 60.45 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 80
PLACE
1 27.5
7 19
11 21
QUINELLA
1,11 312.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 76
1,11 85
7,11 63
TIERCE
11,1,7 2,973
TRIO
1,7,11 486
FIRST 4
1,7,9,11 1,567
QUARTET
11,1,7,9 32,529
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 19.5
A2 —
All pools (1 more)
6TH DOUBLE
5/1 247.5
5/11 803