跑馬地 · 2020-03-11
第 2場
2020-03-11跑馬地第2場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、D J Hall訓練的MR PICASSO勝出，贏出1-1/2。DESTINE JEWELLERY獲得亞軍；GENERAL TRUMP獲得季軍。3.7倍大熱門GENERAL TRUMP跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | MR PICASSO B 1.10.56 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 10 | 6.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 9 | DESTINE JEWELLERY V G van Niekerk · J Size | G van Niekerk | J Size | 4 | 4.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 11 | GENERAL TRUMP TT J Moreira · T P Yung | J Moreira | T P Yung | 6 | 3.7 | 2 |
| 4 | 12 | VICTORIOUS LEADER M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 3 | 4.8 | 2 |
| 5 | 7 | TATTENHALL FORTUNE H C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 7 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 8 | WAYFOONG CHARMER BO H N Wong · P O'Sullivan | H N Wong | P O'Sullivan | 1 | 6.6 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | FAIRY TWINS TT H W Lai · W Y So | H W Lai | W Y So | 2 | 24.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 6 | HAPPY TANGO XB B Shinn · D J Whyte | B Shinn | D J Whyte | 9 | 82.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 4 | PERFECT HARMONY B/TT K C Leung · A S Cruz | K C Leung | A S Cruz | 12 | 85.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 10 | SUCCESS ALLSTARS M Chadwick · D E Ferraris | M Chadwick | D E Ferraris | 8 | 166.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | FLYING PHOTOS H-/B1 H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 11 | 253.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 5 | RED ZOFFANY TT1 M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 5 | 36.0 | 8-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | GENERAL TRUMP | 35.5% | 2.82 | 3 |
| 2 | 12 | VICTORIOUS LEADER | 20.3% | 4.93 | 4 |
| 3 | 9 | DESTINE JEWELLERY | 13.1% | 7.66 | 2 |
| 4 | 8 | WAYFOONG CHARMER | 9.5% | 10.58 | 6 |
| 5 | 7 | TATTENHALL FORTUNE | 6.5% | 15.33 | 5 |
| 6 | 1 | MR PICASSO | 6.2% | 16.01 | 1 |
| 7 | 2 | FAIRY TWINS | 2.8% | 36.00 | 7 |
| 8 | 4 | PERFECT HARMONY | 2.8% | 36.28 | 9 |
| 9 | 6 | HAPPY TANGO | 1.6% | 61.00 | 8 |
| 10 | 3 | FLYING PHOTOS | 0.6% | 164.54 | 11 |
| 11 | 10 | SUCCESS ALLSTARS | 0.6% | 165.27 | 10 |
| 12 | 5 | RED ZOFFANY | 0.6% | 174.97 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 63
PLACE
1 19.5
9 15.5
11 14.5
QUINELLA
1,9 167.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,9 51.5
1,11 47
9,11 32.5
TIERCE
1,9,11 883
TRIO
1,9,11 135
FIRST 4
1,9,11,12 153
QUARTET
1,9,11,12 4,062
1ST DOUBLE
5/1 299
5/9 37.5
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 19.5
A1 —
A3 —