跑馬地 · 2020-03-11
第 4場
2020-03-11跑馬地第4場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Y Ho策騎、C Fownes訓練的E MASTER勝出，贏出N。VICTORY MASTERY獲得亞軍；HARMONY N HOME獲得季軍。4.3倍大熱門GOLDEN GLORY跑獲第9名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | E MASTER XB 1.10.46 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 1 | 7.5 | N |
| 2 | 9 | VICTORY MASTERY PC J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 8 | 5.1 | N |
| 3 | 2 | HARMONY N HOME H W Lai · C S Shum | H W Lai | C S Shum | 7 | 23.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | WINNER'S HEART CP- N Callan · F C Lor | N Callan | F C Lor | 5 | 5.5 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | COMPASSION STAR Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 10 | 6.6 | 1 |
| 6 | 7 | MELBOURNE HALL XB/H1/P1 M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 6 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | DAILY DELIGHT B Shinn · D J Whyte | B Shinn | D J Whyte | 11 | 18.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 12 | BELLA BABY XB/TT K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 3 | 33.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 3 | GOLDEN GLORY B/TT G van Niekerk · K H Ting | G van Niekerk | K H Ting | 2 | 4.3 | 3 |
| 10 | 10 | ALL TIMES GRATEFUL B1 C Schofield · C H Yip | C Schofield | C H Yip | 12 | 14.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | SHANGHAI POWER H- H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 4 | 257.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 11 | GOUTEN OF GARO B/TT M Chadwick · D E Ferraris | M Chadwick | D E Ferraris | 9 | 56.0 | 13 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | WINNER'S HEART | 18.5% | 5.40 | 4 |
| 2 | 3 | GOLDEN GLORY | 14.4% | 6.92 | 9 |
| 3 | 4 | COMPASSION STAR | 12.3% | 8.15 | 5 |
| 4 | 7 | MELBOURNE HALL | 11.2% | 8.93 | 6 |
| 5 | 10 | ALL TIMES GRATEFUL | 10.4% | 9.63 | 10 |
| 6 | 9 | VICTORY MASTERY | 7.9% | 12.66 | 2 |
| 7 | 12 | BELLA BABY | 7.7% | 13.03 | 8 |
| 8 | 2 | HARMONY N HOME | 6.2% | 16.04 | 3 |
| 9 | 6 | DAILY DELIGHT | 3.7% | 27.07 | 7 |
| 10 | 11 | GOUTEN OF GARO | 3.5% | 28.87 | 12 |
| 11 | 1 | E MASTER | 3.4% | 29.39 | 1 |
| 12 | 8 | SHANGHAI POWER | 0.8% | 120.75 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 75
PLACE
1 28
2 71.5
9 20.5
QUINELLA
1,9 221.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 296.5
1,9 84
2,9 215.5
TIERCE
1,9,2 7,054
TRIO
1,2,9 1,999
FIRST 4
1,2,5,9 2,622
QUARTET
1,9,2,5 50,514
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,12/1,2,9 225,382
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 21.5
A1 —
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE
3/1 431
3/9 72.5