Happy Valley · 2020-03-11
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | E MASTER XB 1.10.46 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 1 | 7.5 | N |
| 2 | 0 | VICTORY MASTERY PC J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 8 | 5.1 | N |
| 3 | 0 | HARMONY N HOME H W Lai · C S Shum | H W Lai | C S Shum | 7 | 23.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | WINNER'S HEART CP- N Callan · F C Lor | N Callan | F C Lor | 5 | 5.5 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | COMPASSION STAR Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 10 | 6.6 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | MELBOURNE HALL XB/H1/P1 M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 6 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | DAILY DELIGHT B Shinn · D J Whyte | B Shinn | D J Whyte | 11 | 18.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | BELLA BABY XB/TT K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 3 | 33.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | GOLDEN GLORY B/TT G van Niekerk · K H Ting | G van Niekerk | K H Ting | 2 | 4.3 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | ALL TIMES GRATEFUL B1 C Schofield · C H Yip | C Schofield | C H Yip | 12 | 14.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | SHANGHAI POWER H- H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 4 | 257.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 0 | GOUTEN OF GARO B/TT M Chadwick · D E Ferraris | M Chadwick | D E Ferraris | 9 | 56.0 | 13 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2020-03-11 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. E MASTER, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by C Fownes, won by N, with VICTORY MASTERY second and HARMONY N HOME third. The 4.3 favourite GOLDEN GLORY finished 9th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | WINNER'S HEART | 18.5% | 5.40 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | GOLDEN GLORY | 14.4% | 6.92 | 9 |
| 3 | 0 | COMPASSION STAR | 12.3% | 8.15 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | MELBOURNE HALL | 11.2% | 8.93 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | ALL TIMES GRATEFUL | 10.4% | 9.63 | 10 |
| 6 | 0 | VICTORY MASTERY | 7.9% | 12.66 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | BELLA BABY | 7.7% | 13.03 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | HARMONY N HOME | 6.2% | 16.04 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | DAILY DELIGHT | 3.7% | 27.07 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | GOUTEN OF GARO | 3.5% | 28.87 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | E MASTER | 3.4% | 29.39 | 1 |
| 12 | 0 | SHANGHAI POWER | 0.8% | 120.75 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 75
PLACE
1 28
2 71.5
9 20.5
QUINELLA
1,9 221.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 296.5
1,9 84
2,9 215.5
TIERCE
1,9,2 7,054
TRIO
1,2,9 1,999
FIRST 4
1,2,5,9 2,622
QUARTET
1,9,2,5 50,514
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,12/1,2,9 225,382
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 21.5
3RD DOUBLE
3/1 431
3/9 72.5