Happy Valley · 2020-03-11
Race 3
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2020-03-11 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. CHARITY WINGS, ridden by G van Niekerk and trained by C S Shum, won by 1, with STAR MAJESTIC second and DOCTORS DELIGHT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.4 favourite DOR DOR finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | CHARITY WINGS Closed strongly B 1.41.23 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) G van Niekerk · C S Shum | G van Niekerk | C S Shum | 8 | 8.5 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | STAR MAJESTIC Closed strongly B B Shinn · P O'Sullivan | B Shinn | P O'Sullivan | 7 | 19.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 12 | DOCTORS DELIGHT Closed strongly H/TT K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 4 | 13.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 4 | SUNNY POWER Closed strongly M Chadwick · K W Lui | M Chadwick | K W Lui | 11 | 13.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | NUNCHUKS XB1/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 6 | 11.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 1 | DOR DOR Closed strongly H J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 3 | 2.4 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | SNOW AIRJET B-/TT H W Lai · P F Yiu | H W Lai | P F Yiu | 2 | 21.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | AMAZING SATCHMO B Z Purton · D E Ferraris | Z Purton | D E Ferraris | 1 | 3.9 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 9 | KING PRINT B C Schofield · C H Yip | C Schofield | C H Yip | 9 | 54.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 11 | WILLFUL Closed strongly CP1 H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 10 | 123.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | VOYAGE STAR Led early B-/V2/TT M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 5 | 16.0 | 9-1/4 |
| — | 8 | FAITHFUL TRINITY N Callan · R Gibson | N Callan | R Gibson | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | DOR DOR | 21.4% | 4.68 | 6 |
| 2 | 5 | AMAZING SATCHMO | 19.7% | 5.08 | 8 |
| 3 | 12 | DOCTORS DELIGHT | 13.9% | 7.20 | 3 |
| 4 | 4 | SUNNY POWER | 12.9% | 7.75 | 4 |
| 5 | 3 | CHARITY WINGS | 11.3% | 8.85 | 1 |
| 6 | 10 | VOYAGE STAR | 7.0% | 14.28 | 11 |
| 7 | 7 | NUNCHUKS | 6.4% | 15.72 | 5 |
| 8 | 2 | STAR MAJESTIC | 2.8% | 35.98 | 2 |
| 9 | 6 | SNOW AIRJET | 2.0% | 49.54 | 7 |
| 10 | 9 | KING PRINT | 1.9% | 52.70 | 9 |
| 11 | 11 | WILLFUL | 0.8% | 130.16 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 85
PLACE
2 46
3 20.5
12 39
QUINELLA
2,3 674
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 177
2,12 329
3,12 105
TIERCE
3,2,12 8,468
TRIO
2,3,12 1,234
FIRST 4
2,3,4,12 2,357
QUARTET
3,2,12,4 47,986
2ND DOUBLE
1/2 141.5
1/3 359
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 36
A1 —
A3 —