Happy Valley · 2020-03-11
Race 7
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2020-03-11 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. MASSIVE POCKET, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by 3/4, with DIAMOND BRILLIANT second and SMART LEADER third. Victory came as the 2.7 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | MASSIVE POCKET XB 1.09.87 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 1 | 2.7 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 9 | DIAMOND BRILLIANT V-/CP2/TT J Moreira · T P Yung | J Moreira | T P Yung | 11 | 6.5 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 6 | SMART LEADER B/TT B Shinn · A S Cruz | B Shinn | A S Cruz | 2 | 7.9 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | PERFECT GLORY B1 N Callan · C Fownes | N Callan | C Fownes | 3 | 11.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | BE READY B Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 5 | 5.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | WINNING METHOD B-/TT H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 6 | 8.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | AMAZING KIWI XB/B1 G van Niekerk · D J Whyte | G van Niekerk | D J Whyte | 9 | 17.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | HONEST WAY B C Schofield · D E Ferraris | C Schofield | D E Ferraris | 4 | 13.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | FORZA ANGEL H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 7 | 175.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 5 | KASI FARASI H/TT M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 8 | 50.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | FIRST RESPONDER TT K C Leung · J Moore | K C Leung | J Moore | 10 | 43.0 | 8 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | BE READY | 30.2% | 3.32 | 5 |
| 2 | 9 | DIAMOND BRILLIANT | 16.3% | 6.12 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 | MASSIVE POCKET | 12.1% | 8.23 | 1 |
| 4 | 3 | WINNING METHOD | 8.8% | 11.34 | 6 |
| 5 | 6 | SMART LEADER | 7.6% | 13.16 | 3 |
| 6 | 11 | HONEST WAY | 6.9% | 14.52 | 8 |
| 7 | 7 | AMAZING KIWI | 5.0% | 20.13 | 7 |
| 8 | 5 | KASI FARASI | 4.5% | 22.12 | 10 |
| 9 | 2 | PERFECT GLORY | 4.3% | 23.08 | 4 |
| 10 | 8 | FIRST RESPONDER | 3.1% | 32.20 | 11 |
| 11 | 10 | FORZA ANGEL | 1.1% | 87.84 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 27
PLACE
1 13.5
6 21.5
9 21
QUINELLA
1,9 89.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 43
1,9 36.5
6,9 74
TIERCE
1,9,6 862
TRIO
1,6,9 239
FIRST 4
1,2,6,9 492
QUARTET
1,9,6,2 6,242
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 18.5
All pools (1 more)
6TH DOUBLE
4/1 105
4/9 68.5