Happy Valley · 2020-03-11
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | VILLA FIONN Closed strongly B 1.39.76 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 2 | 4.1 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | EVERYONE'S ELITE Closed strongly B J Moreira · K L Man | J Moreira | K L Man | 5 | 2.5 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | BEST ALLIANCE Closed strongly XB G van Niekerk · D J Whyte | G van Niekerk | D J Whyte | 8 | 6.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | GOLD VELVET Closed strongly B K C Leung · A T Millard | K C Leung | A T Millard | 12 | 57.0 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | DIAMOND LEGEND V/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 6 | 29.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | WINNING TOGETHER Closed strongly B/TT B Shinn · C W Chang | B Shinn | C W Chang | 1 | 10.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | HAR HAR HEART K H Chan · J Size | K H Chan | J Size | 4 | 17.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | INVALUABLE Closed strongly B N Callan · R Gibson | N Callan | R Gibson | 11 | 95.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | NITRO EXPRESS Closed strongly B/TT M F Poon · D E Ferraris | M F Poon | D E Ferraris | 3 | 15.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | POLYMER LUCK Led early B C Wong · K H Ting | C Wong | K H Ting | 9 | 24.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | PERFECT TO PLAY TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 10 | 12.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | SPLENDID TIMING B C Schofield · C H Yip | C Schofield | C H Yip | 7 | 55.0 | 28-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2020-03-11 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. VILLA FIONN, ridden by Z Purton and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1, with EVERYONE'S ELITE second and BEST ALLIANCE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.5 favourite EVERYONE'S ELITE finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | EVERYONE'S ELITE | 27.3% | 3.66 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | VILLA FIONN | 18.5% | 5.42 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | BEST ALLIANCE | 9.2% | 10.81 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | POLYMER LUCK | 6.7% | 14.98 | 10 |
| 5 | 0 | WINNING TOGETHER | 6.2% | 16.11 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | PERFECT TO PLAY | 5.9% | 16.92 | 11 |
| 7 | 0 | NITRO EXPRESS | 5.3% | 18.99 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | SPLENDID TIMING | 4.6% | 21.67 | 12 |
| 9 | 0 | HAR HAR HEART | 4.4% | 22.68 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | DIAMOND LEGEND | 4.4% | 22.96 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | GOLD VELVET | 4.0% | 24.90 | 4 |
| 12 | 0 | INVALUABLE | 3.5% | 28.62 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 41
PLACE
2 22
4 15
9 13
QUINELLA
4,9 54.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 53
2,9 39.5
4,9 25
TIERCE
4,9,2 674
TRIO
2,4,9 85
FIRST 4
2,4,9,11 912
QUARTET
4,9,2,11 16,800
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,9/2,4,9 1,590
1,9,11/2,4,9 603
All pools (4 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 15.5
A2 —
5TH DOUBLE
1/4 93.5
1/9 11
TRIPLE TRIO
1,2,9/1,5,9/2,4,9 67,583
1,2,9/1,9,11/2,4,9 39,987
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,2,9/1,5,9/Any Combination 799
1,2,9/1,9,11/Any Combination 461