Happy Valley · 2020-03-11
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BREAK RECORD Closed strongly CP/TT 1.41.63 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Moreira · C S Shum | J Moreira | C S Shum | 1 | 4.5 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | WINNERS BROTHER Closed strongly B M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 9 | 95.0 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | GALAXY RACER Closed strongly B Z Purton · C Fownes | Z Purton | C Fownes | 7 | 2.9 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | ART OF RAW H/TT B Shinn · C W Chang | B Shinn | C W Chang | 3 | 8.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | STARLOT Closed strongly B K C Leung · P O'Sullivan | K C Leung | P O'Sullivan | 11 | 24.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | GOLDEN GENERAL Closed strongly CP H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 10 | 164.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | MASTER ROMAN N Callan · W Y So | N Callan | W Y So | 4 | 12.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | KEEP GOING Led early CP-/SR1 H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 8 | 22.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | GREAT SMART Closed strongly B- H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 6 | 43.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | GOOD CHOICE AHEAD B/H C Schofield · L Ho | C Schofield | L Ho | 2 | 14.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | REEVE'S MUNTJAC Closed strongly B/XB/TT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 12 | 11.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | KA YING BRILLIANCE H/P/XB K H Chan · T P Yung | K H Chan | T P Yung | 5 | 5.5 | 9-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2020-03-11 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. BREAK RECORD, ridden by J Moreira and trained by C S Shum, won by SH, with WINNERS BROTHER second and GALAXY RACER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.9 favourite GALAXY RACER finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BREAK RECORD | 28.5% | 3.51 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | GALAXY RACER | 24.5% | 4.08 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | KA YING BRILLIANCE | 17.1% | 5.85 | 12 |
| 4 | 0 | ART OF RAW | 8.0% | 12.45 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | MASTER ROMAN | 6.4% | 15.56 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | GOOD CHOICE AHEAD | 3.6% | 27.80 | 10 |
| 7 | 0 | REEVE'S MUNTJAC | 3.4% | 29.72 | 11 |
| 8 | 0 | KEEP GOING | 2.6% | 37.84 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | STARLOT | 2.5% | 39.62 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | GREAT SMART | 1.8% | 54.86 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | WINNERS BROTHER | 0.8% | 122.52 | 2 |
| 12 | 0 | GOLDEN GENERAL | 0.7% | 133.99 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 45
PLACE
2 15.5
5 16.5
11 163.5
QUINELLA
5,11 2,322.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 36.5
2,11 503
5,11 681.5
TIERCE
5,11,2 23,469
TRIO
2,5,11 2,342
FIRST 4
2,5,9,11 2,643
QUARTET
5,11,2,9 86,085
3 PICK 1
A2 24
A3 —
A1 —