跑馬地 · 2020-03-11
第 5場
2020-03-11跑馬地第5場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Wong策騎、F C Lor訓練的SPEED VISION勝出，贏出1/2。VICTORY POWER獲得亞軍；WIND N GRASS獲得季軍。頭馬以3.0倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SPEED VISION B/TT 1.09.58 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Wong · F C Lor | C Wong | F C Lor | 2 | 3.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 9 | VICTORY POWER B/XB G van Niekerk · D J Whyte | G van Niekerk | D J Whyte | 10 | 5.2 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 5 | WIND N GRASS J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 4 | 16.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 11 | SHOUSON B Z Purton · J Moore | Z Purton | J Moore | 9 | 6.6 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | CALIFORNIA TURBO B/TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 6 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | MOST BEAUTIFUL B/TT K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 1 | 11.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | NORDIC WARRIOR B M Chadwick · R Gibson | M Chadwick | R Gibson | 11 | 16.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 4 | JUMBO HAPPINESS V1 C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 3 | 9.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | HANDSOME REBEL B H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 7 | 12.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 7 | STREET SCREAM M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 8 | 97.0 | 3 |
| 11 | 2 | TELECOM PUMA TT C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 12 | 33.0 | 3 |
| 12 | 3 | GANESH TALAI SR B Shinn · D E Ferraris | B Shinn | D E Ferraris | 5 | 227.0 | 10-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | SHOUSON | 14.9% | 6.71 | 3 |
| 2 | 5 | WIND N GRASS | 14.1% | 7.11 | 3 |
| 3 | 9 | VICTORY POWER | 13.7% | 7.31 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | SPEED VISION | 12.4% | 8.04 | 1 |
| 5 | 8 | CALIFORNIA TURBO | 12.0% | 8.36 | 5 |
| 6 | 4 | JUMBO HAPPINESS | 10.1% | 9.90 | 8 |
| 7 | 12 | HANDSOME REBEL | 6.5% | 15.37 | 9 |
| 8 | 2 | TELECOM PUMA | 5.2% | 19.10 | 11 |
| 9 | 6 | MOST BEAUTIFUL | 4.0% | 24.78 | 6 |
| 10 | 10 | NORDIC WARRIOR | 3.5% | 28.91 | 7 |
| 11 | 7 | STREET SCREAM | 2.8% | 35.31 | 10 |
| 12 | 3 | GANESH TALAI | 0.8% | 128.51 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 30.5
PLACE
1 13.5
5 23.5
9 17.5
11 11
QUINELLA
1,9 81.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 39
1,9 32
1,11 24
5,9 45
5,11 56.5
9,11 22
TIERCE
1,9,5 672
1,9,11 272
TRIO
1,5,9 156
1,9,11 63
FIRST 4
1,5,9,11 373
QUARTET
1,9,5,11 2,878
1,9,11,5 2,288
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 22.5
A3 —
全部彩池（另 1 項）
4TH DOUBLE
1/1 129.5
1/9 74