跑馬地 · 2020-03-25
第 3場
2020-03-25跑馬地第3場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由G van Niekerk策騎、J Size訓練的ZERO HEDGE勝出，贏出HD。FARM BUMPER獲得亞軍；WINNER'S HEART獲得季軍。2.6倍大熱門WINNING WAYS跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | ZERO HEDGE PC/XB 0.57.67 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） G van Niekerk · J Size | G van Niekerk | J Size | 7 | 9.6 | HD |
| 2 | 12 | FARM BUMPER C Schofield · K L Man | C Schofield | K L Man | 3 | 6.7 | HD |
| 3 | 3 | WINNER'S HEART B1 N Callan · F C Lor | N Callan | F C Lor | 6 | 6.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | NOBLE DESIRE B/XB V Borges · D J Whyte | V Borges | D J Whyte | 2 | 33.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | OVERSUBSCRIBED H/XB J Moreira · D J Hall | J Moreira | D J Hall | 10 | 4.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | LOOK ERAS B/TT H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 1 | 13.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | WINNING WAYS H/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 5 | 2.6 | 2 |
| 8 | 5 | FOR FUN'S SAKE B K C Leung · J Moore | K C Leung | J Moore | 11 | 350.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 10 | ISLAND WINNER CP-/XB-/TT M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 4 | 10.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | MANAGEMENT SUPREME C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 12 | 212.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | WINS ALL M Chadwick · R Gibson | M Chadwick | R Gibson | 8 | 55.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 7 | WIN FOR YOUTH XB1 H W Lai · K H Ting | H W Lai | K H Ting | 9 | 395.0 | 12-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | WINNING WAYS | 23.4% | 4.27 | 7 |
| 2 | 9 | OVERSUBSCRIBED | 16.4% | 6.11 | 5 |
| 3 | 12 | FARM BUMPER | 14.1% | 7.09 | 2 |
| 4 | 3 | WINNER'S HEART | 12.5% | 8.02 | 3 |
| 5 | 1 | ZERO HEDGE | 12.0% | 8.32 | 1 |
| 6 | 6 | MANAGEMENT SUPREME | 6.2% | 16.17 | 10 |
| 7 | 11 | LOOK ERAS | 3.7% | 27.36 | 6 |
| 8 | 2 | NOBLE DESIRE | 3.6% | 27.69 | 4 |
| 9 | 10 | ISLAND WINNER | 3.5% | 28.58 | 9 |
| 10 | 7 | WIN FOR YOUTH | 2.8% | 35.26 | 12 |
| 11 | 8 | WINS ALL | 1.2% | 80.56 | 11 |
| 12 | 5 | FOR FUN'S SAKE | 0.6% | 173.70 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 96.5
PLACE
1 25.5
3 24.5
12 23.5
QUINELLA
1,12 292
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 90
1,12 81.5
3,12 71
TIERCE
1,12,3 3,584
TRIO
1,3,12 521
FIRST 4
1,2,3,12 2,362
QUARTET
1,12,3,2 49,282
2ND DOUBLE
1/1 232
1/12 46.5
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 25
A3 —