跑馬地 · 2020-03-25
第 1場
2020-03-25跑馬地第1場，Class 5，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Schofield策騎、W Y So訓練的WONDERFUL TIGER勝出，贏出2。VIRTUS STAR獲得亞軍；GALAXY RACER獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.0倍大熱門GALAXY RACER跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | WONDERFUL TIGER 後段發力 H/XB/TT 1.40.27 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Schofield · W Y So | C Schofield | W Y So | 2 | 9.9 | 2 |
| 2 | 12 | VIRTUS STAR 後段發力 SR1 Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 11 | 3.9 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 | GALAXY RACER 後段發力 B C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 3 | 3.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | BUNDLE OF ENERGY B J Moreira · D J Hall | J Moreira | D J Hall | 10 | 9.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | CHIU CHOW KID 後段發力 V2/TT K C Leung · T P Yung | K C Leung | T P Yung | 6 | 36.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 11 | KWAICHUNG BROTHERS 後段發力 B M F Poon · R Gibson | M F Poon | R Gibson | 7 | 33.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | MISCHIEVOUS SUNDAE 後段發力 P G van Niekerk · J Size | G van Niekerk | J Size | 12 | 33.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | GREAT HARVEST B M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 4 | 3.7 | 9-3/4 |
| 9 | 6 | VICTORY SONG B1 N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 9 | 84.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | GREAT SMART 後段發力 B2 H W Lai · L Ho | H W Lai | L Ho | 5 | 55.0 | 14-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | DIVINE POWER B C Wong · P F Yiu | C Wong | P F Yiu | 8 | 51.0 | 15-3/4 |
| 12 | 8 | TARGET FINDER 早段領放 B1/H2 H N Wong · C W Chang | H N Wong | C W Chang | 1 | 69.0 | 19-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | GALAXY RACER | 28.2% | 3.55 | 3 |
| 2 | 12 | VIRTUS STAR | 15.6% | 6.42 | 2 |
| 3 | 3 | GREAT HARVEST | 13.0% | 7.71 | 8 |
| 4 | 2 | BUNDLE OF ENERGY | 12.9% | 7.74 | 4 |
| 5 | 11 | KWAICHUNG BROTHERS | 7.9% | 12.73 | 6 |
| 6 | 5 | MISCHIEVOUS SUNDAE | 5.2% | 19.22 | 7 |
| 7 | 7 | WONDERFUL TIGER | 4.8% | 20.92 | 1 |
| 8 | 10 | DIVINE POWER | 3.7% | 26.93 | 11 |
| 9 | 4 | CHIU CHOW KID | 3.5% | 28.40 | 5 |
| 10 | 6 | VICTORY SONG | 2.6% | 37.93 | 9 |
| 11 | 9 | GREAT SMART | 1.6% | 60.86 | 10 |
| 12 | 8 | TARGET FINDER | 1.0% | 100.83 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 99.5
PLACE
1 13.5
7 24
12 15.5
QUINELLA
7,12 193
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 51.5
1,12 29
7,12 62.5
TIERCE
7,12,1 1,230
TRIO
1,7,12 145
FIRST 4
1,2,7,12 172
QUARTET
7,12,1,2 5,589
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 21