跑馬地 · 2020-03-25
第 6場
2020-03-25跑馬地第6場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、J Moore訓練的SHOUSON勝出，贏出2-1/2。VERY RICH MAN獲得亞軍；WIND N GRASS獲得季軍。2.2倍大熱門DANCING FIGHTER跑獲第8名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SHOUSON B 1.09.36 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · J Moore | Z Purton | J Moore | 1 | 3.4 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 11 | VERY RICH MAN H/TT- C Wong · L Ho | C Wong | L Ho | 5 | 21.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | WIND N GRASS G van Niekerk · J Size | G van Niekerk | J Size | 3 | 7.7 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 5 | BIG FORTUNE B/XB M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 4 | 6.6 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | WHAT A LEGEND B C Schofield · K H Ting | C Schofield | K H Ting | 12 | 29.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 6 | 4 | SMART LEADER B/TT B Shinn · A S Cruz | B Shinn | A S Cruz | 8 | 12.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | COPARTNER SPIRIT B-/H-/XB- M F Poon · R Gibson | M F Poon | R Gibson | 11 | 412.0 | 7 |
| 8 | 1 | DANCING FIGHTER SR/TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 9 | 2.2 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 6 | CHIKORITA CP/TT N Callan · C W Chang | N Callan | C W Chang | 6 | 98.0 | 12 |
| 10 | 12 | HANG'S DECISION B/H T H So · W Y So | T H So | W Y So | 7 | 94.0 | 13 |
| 11 | 10 | DOLLAR REWARD P-/TT H W Lai · C S Shum | H W Lai | C S Shum | 10 | 82.0 | 16 |
| 12 | 3 | GANESH TALAI SR H N Wong · D E Ferraris | H N Wong | D E Ferraris | 2 | 479.0 | 20 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SHOUSON | 30.9% | 3.24 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | DANCING FIGHTER | 27.5% | 3.63 | 8 |
| 3 | 9 | WHAT A LEGEND | 10.9% | 9.21 | 5 |
| 4 | 2 | WIND N GRASS | 9.6% | 10.38 | 3 |
| 5 | 4 | SMART LEADER | 7.2% | 13.81 | 6 |
| 6 | 5 | BIG FORTUNE | 5.6% | 17.95 | 4 |
| 7 | 10 | DOLLAR REWARD | 2.9% | 34.92 | 11 |
| 8 | 6 | CHIKORITA | 1.8% | 56.54 | 9 |
| 9 | 11 | VERY RICH MAN | 1.6% | 62.56 | 2 |
| 10 | 12 | HANG'S DECISION | 0.9% | 112.55 | 10 |
| 11 | 8 | COPARTNER SPIRIT | 0.7% | 139.40 | 7 |
| 12 | 3 | GANESH TALAI | 0.4% | 238.53 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 34
PLACE
2 20.5
7 13.5
11 41.5
QUINELLA
7,11 337.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,7 39.5
2,11 186.5
7,11 92
TIERCE
7,11,2 3,239
TRIO
2,7,11 711
FIRST 4
2,5,7,11 582
QUARTET
7,11,2,5 11,789
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
6,11>2,3/2,7,11 19,081
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 21
A1 —
A3 —
5TH DOUBLE
6/7 130
6/11 578
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
10,11,12/6,11>2,3/Any Combination 89,442