跑馬地 · 2020-07-15
第 9場
2020-07-15跑馬地第9場，Class 2，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由K Teetan策騎、A S Cruz訓練的WALDORF勝出，贏出N。HIGHLAND FORTUNE獲得亞軍；SHINING ACE獲得季軍。3.3倍大熱門HIGHLAND FORTUNE跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | WALDORF B/TT 1.08.56 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 1 | 12.0 | N |
| 2 | 11 | HIGHLAND FORTUNE C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 10 | 3.3 | N |
| 3 | 1 | SHINING ACE B C Schofield · J Size | C Schofield | J Size | 6 | 13.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | WINNING METHOD TT M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 12 | 8.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | VICTORIAM Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 7 | 3.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 5 | UGLY WARRIOR V1 C Wong · Y S Tsui | C Wong | Y S Tsui | 8 | 87.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 10 | SPARKLING DRAGON TT H T Mo · A T Millard | H T Mo | A T Millard | 9 | 32.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 6 | ENCORE BOY B T H So · P F Yiu | T H So | P F Yiu | 2 | 11.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 12 | RACING FIGHTER B/TT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 5 | 20.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 9 | SUNNY BOY B/TT V Borges · J Moore | V Borges | J Moore | 11 | 10.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 8 | SAUL'S SPECIAL B/H K H Chan · C W Chang | K H Chan | C W Chang | 3 | 47.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 2 | YEE CHEONG BABY P/TT C L Chau · K H Ting | C L Chau | K H Ting | 4 | 11.0 | 16 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | HIGHLAND FORTUNE | 23.5% | 4.26 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | VICTORIAM | 12.7% | 7.85 | 5 |
| 3 | 7 | WINNING METHOD | 12.1% | 8.24 | 4 |
| 4 | 9 | SUNNY BOY | 10.1% | 9.90 | 10 |
| 5 | 3 | WALDORF | 9.0% | 11.17 | 1 |
| 6 | 1 | SHINING ACE | 7.5% | 13.39 | 3 |
| 7 | 12 | RACING FIGHTER | 5.8% | 17.13 | 9 |
| 8 | 2 | YEE CHEONG BABY | 4.3% | 23.24 | 12 |
| 9 | 6 | ENCORE BOY | 3.9% | 25.56 | 8 |
| 10 | 8 | SAUL'S SPECIAL | 3.7% | 26.80 | 11 |
| 11 | 5 | UGLY WARRIOR | 3.7% | 27.12 | 6 |
| 12 | 10 | SPARKLING DRAGON | 3.6% | 27.41 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 124
PLACE
1 34.5
3 37.5
11 14.5
QUINELLA
3,11 291
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 149
1,11 89
3,11 96
TIERCE
3,11,1 4,815
TRIO
1,3,11 682
FIRST 4
1,3,7,11 593
QUARTET
3,11,1,7 17,823
3 PICK 1
A2 34
A1 —
A3 —
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
5,6,11/1,3,11 115,158
8TH DOUBLE
11/3 1,586.5
11/11 99.5
SIX UP
5,12/6,8/2,12/1,3/6,11/3,11 1,288
12/6/12/1/11/3 2,135,216
1 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
1/11/3 13,751
1/11/11 728