跑馬地 · 2020-07-15
第 6場
2020-07-15跑馬地第6場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由C Y Ho策騎、D J Whyte訓練的THE RUNNER勝出，贏出N。CALIFORNIA RAD獲得亞軍；HIGH RISE SOLDIER獲得季軍。3.7倍大熱門CALIFORNIA RAD跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | THE RUNNER SR 1.09.27 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · D J Whyte | C Y Ho | D J Whyte | 1 | 10.0 | N |
| 2 | 2 | CALIFORNIA RAD B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 11 | 3.7 | N |
| 3 | 6 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER B Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 9 | 8.4 | 1 |
| 4 | 7 | FLYING BONUS K H Chan · C H Yip | K H Chan | C H Yip | 2 | 9.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | LORIZ K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 6 | 9.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 8 | LE TERROIR CP/XB M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 7 | 7.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 5 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED B V Borges · J Moore | V Borges | J Moore | 4 | 6.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | CHIKORITA XB M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 3 | 12.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 10 | LONDON LUCKYSTAR B H W Lai · D E Ferraris | H W Lai | D E Ferraris | 12 | 86.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 1 | SPEED VISION B/TT C Wong · F C Lor | C Wong | F C Lor | 8 | 49.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 3 | GOOD FOR YOU B C L Chau · Y S Tsui | C L Chau | Y S Tsui | 10 | 13.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 4 | BABY B T H So · K H Ting | T H So | K H Ting | 5 | 21.0 | 8 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | CALIFORNIA RAD | 18.0% | 5.57 | 2 |
| 2 | 5 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED | 17.0% | 5.87 | 7 |
| 3 | 7 | FLYING BONUS | 12.6% | 7.94 | 4 |
| 4 | 9 | LORIZ | 10.1% | 9.88 | 5 |
| 5 | 6 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER | 9.9% | 10.10 | 3 |
| 6 | 12 | THE RUNNER | 7.2% | 13.90 | 1 |
| 7 | 11 | CHIKORITA | 6.7% | 14.84 | 8 |
| 8 | 1 | SPEED VISION | 4.2% | 23.90 | 10 |
| 9 | 3 | GOOD FOR YOU | 3.8% | 26.14 | 11 |
| 10 | 4 | BABY | 3.8% | 26.66 | 12 |
| 11 | 8 | LE TERROIR | 3.5% | 28.65 | 6 |
| 12 | 10 | LONDON LUCKYSTAR | 3.2% | 31.07 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 105.5
PLACE
2 16.5
6 27.5
12 36.5
QUINELLA
2,12 202
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 48
2,12 78.5
6,12 132.5
TIERCE
12,2,6 3,510
TRIO
2,6,12 372
FIRST 4
2,6,7,12 954
QUARTET
12,2,6,7 29,406
3 PICK 1
A3 21.5
A1 —
A2 —
全部彩池（另 1 項）
5TH DOUBLE
6/2 13
6/12 373.5