沙田 · 2020-09-13
第 9場
2020-09-13沙田第9場，Class 2，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Schofield策騎、R Gibson訓練的GOLD CHEST勝出，贏出SH。TEAM SPIRIT獲得亞軍；BAND OF BROTHERS獲得季軍。3.6倍大熱門HONG KONG WIN跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | GOLD CHEST CP/TT 0.56.04 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Schofield · R Gibson | C Schofield | R Gibson | 10 | 4.6 | SH |
| 2 | 14 | TEAM SPIRIT B/TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 14 | 43.0 | SH |
| 3 | 3 | BAND OF BROTHERS B N Callan · P O'Sullivan | N Callan | P O'Sullivan | 3 | 12.0 | N |
| 4 | 13 | MAGIC LEGEND H K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 9 | 72.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 11 | TORNADO TWIST H/TT K H Chan · F C Lor | K H Chan | F C Lor | 6 | 118.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 5 | HIGHLY PROACTIVE H/P/TT Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 13 | 5.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | HONG KONG WIN B J Moreira · J Size | J Moreira | J Size | 8 | 3.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | MULTIMILLION B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 1 | 9.5 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 12 | EASY GO EASY WIN V/XB V Borges · D J Whyte | V Borges | D J Whyte | 11 | 79.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 1 | ENJOYING B/XB A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 7 | 66.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 6 | LUCKY MORE A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 4 | 5.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 7 | GENTLE BREEZE B C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 5 | 46.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 13 | 10 | UTOPIA LIFE B C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 2 | 42.0 | 6 |
| 14 | 9 | MR LUMIERES M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 12 | 23.0 | 8 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | HONG KONG WIN | 22.3% | 4.47 | 7 |
| 2 | 5 | HIGHLY PROACTIVE | 10.9% | 9.16 | 6 |
| 3 | 6 | LUCKY MORE | 10.8% | 9.26 | 11 |
| 4 | 8 | MULTIMILLION | 10.2% | 9.77 | 8 |
| 5 | 10 | UTOPIA LIFE | 8.2% | 12.24 | 13 |
| 6 | 3 | BAND OF BROTHERS | 6.9% | 14.59 | 3 |
| 7 | 1 | ENJOYING | 6.2% | 16.09 | 10 |
| 8 | 4 | GOLD CHEST | 6.0% | 16.71 | 1 |
| 9 | 12 | EASY GO EASY WIN | 4.2% | 23.72 | 9 |
| 10 | 11 | TORNADO TWIST | 3.6% | 27.65 | 5 |
| 11 | 7 | GENTLE BREEZE | 3.1% | 32.39 | 12 |
| 12 | 9 | MR LUMIERES | 2.9% | 34.13 | 14 |
| 13 | 14 | TEAM SPIRIT | 2.9% | 34.24 | 2 |
| 14 | 13 | MAGIC LEGEND | 1.7% | 58.48 | 4 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 46
PLACE
3 30.5
4 16.5
14 86
QUINELLA
4,14 1,015.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 82.5
3,14 735.5
4,14 278.5
FORECAST
4,14 892
TIERCE
4,14,3 12,787
TRIO
3,4,14 2,221
FIRST 4
3,4,13,14 20,961
QUARTET
4,14,3,13 369,755
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 20.5
A2 —
A3 —
8TH DOUBLE
6/4 56
6/14 104