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Sha Tin · 2020-09-13

Race 9

Class 2 GOOD 1000m Course A+3 14 runners

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2020-09-13 was Class 2 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. GOLD CHEST, ridden by C Schofield and trained by R Gibson, won by SH, with TEAM SPIRIT second and BAND OF BROTHERS third. The 3.6 favourite HONG KONG WIN finished 7th.

Result

Official · 0.56.04
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 4 GOLD CHEST CP/TT 0.56.04 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Schofield · R Gibson 10 4.6 SH
2 14 TEAM SPIRIT B/TT M L Yeung · W Y So 14 43.0 SH
3 3 BAND OF BROTHERS B N Callan · P O'Sullivan 3 12.0 N
4 13 MAGIC LEGEND H K C Leung · K L Man 9 72.0 1-1/2
5 11 TORNADO TWIST H/TT K H Chan · F C Lor 6 118.0 2-1/2
6 5 HIGHLY PROACTIVE H/P/TT Z Purton · K W Lui 13 5.7 2-1/2
7 2 HONG KONG WIN B J Moreira · J Size 8 3.6 2-1/2
8 8 MULTIMILLION B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz 1 9.5 3-3/4
9 12 EASY GO EASY WIN V/XB V Borges · D J Whyte 11 79.0 4
10 1 ENJOYING B/XB A Hamelin · D J Whyte 7 66.0 4-1/4
11 6 LUCKY MORE A Badel · C S Shum 4 5.0 5-1/4
12 7 GENTLE BREEZE B C L Chau · P F Yiu 5 46.0 5-3/4
13 10 UTOPIA LIFE B C Y Ho · K L Man 2 42.0 6
14 9 MR LUMIERES M F Poon · D J Hall 12 23.0 8

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GOLD CHEST2. TEAM SPIRIT+0.1L3. BAND OF BROTHERS+0.05L4. MAGIC LEGEND+1.5L5. TORNADO TWIST+2.5L6. HIGHLY PROACTIVE+2.5L7. HONG KONG WIN+2.5L8. MULTIMILLION+3.75L9. EASY GO EASY WIN+4L10. ENJOYING+4.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2020-21
The model's top pick HONG KONG WIN (22.3%) finished 7th — the winner GOLD CHEST was rated #8. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 2 HONG KONG WIN 22.3% 4.47 7
2 5 HIGHLY PROACTIVE 10.9% 9.16 6
3 6 LUCKY MORE 10.8% 9.26 11
4 8 MULTIMILLION 10.2% 9.77 8
5 10 UTOPIA LIFE 8.2% 12.24 13
6 3 BAND OF BROTHERS 6.9% 14.59 3
7 1 ENJOYING 6.2% 16.09 10
8 4 GOLD CHEST 6.0% 16.71 1
9 12 EASY GO EASY WIN 4.2% 23.72 9
10 11 TORNADO TWIST 3.6% 27.65 5
11 7 GENTLE BREEZE 3.1% 32.39 12
12 9 MR LUMIERES 2.9% 34.13 14
13 14 TEAM SPIRIT 2.9% 34.24 2
14 13 MAGIC LEGEND 1.7% 58.48 4
HONG KONG WINHIGHLY PROACTIVELUCKY MOREMULTIMILLIONUTOPIA LIFEBAND OF BROTHERSENJOYINGGOLD CHEST — wonEASY GO EASY WINTORNADO TWISTGENTLE BREEZEMR LUMIERESTEAM SPIRITMAGIC LEGEND

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 46

PLACE

3 30.5

4 16.5

14 86

QUINELLA

4,14 1,015.5

QUINELLA PLACE

3,4 82.5

3,14 735.5

4,14 278.5

FORECAST

4,14 892

TIERCE

4,14,3 12,787

TRIO

3,4,14 2,221

FIRST 4

3,4,13,14 20,961

QUARTET

4,14,3,13 369,755

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A1 20.5

A2

A3

8TH DOUBLE

6/4 56

6/14 104