Sha Tin · 2020-09-13
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2020-09-13 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. CIRCUIT GLORY, ridden by K Teetan and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1, with STAR OF YUEN LONG second and ENTRUSTED third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.9 favourite SO WE JOY finished 12th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | CIRCUIT GLORY Closed strongly H/TT 1.21.11 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 6 | 6.7 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | STAR OF YUEN LONG Led early B Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 5 | 3.4 | 1 |
| 3 | 7 | ENTRUSTED Closed strongly A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 1 | 19.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | CRAIG'S STAR B M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 11 | 8.7 | 3 |
| 5 | 5 | FLYING MIGHTY Closed strongly B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 2 | 68.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | GLORIOUS LOVER Closed strongly M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 7 | 25.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | JOYFUL HEART Closed strongly CP/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 10 | 17.0 | 7 |
| 7 | 11 | SUPERB DADDY Closed strongly V Borges · D E Ferraris | V Borges | D E Ferraris | 4 | 13.0 | 7 |
| 9 | 8 | WISDOM PATCH Closed strongly H/XB1/TT K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 13 | 77.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 10 | 12 | CHAIRMAN LO Closed strongly E C Wong · J Size | C Wong | J Size | 9 | 68.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 3 | WINNING FOR ALL C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 12 | 19.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 13 | SO WE JOY CP/TT- J Moreira · D A Hayes | J Moreira | D A Hayes | 8 | 2.9 | 10 |
| 13 | 4 | BLAZING BEAT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 3 | 229.0 | 15-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | SO WE JOY | 33.8% | 2.96 | 12 |
| 2 | 2 | STAR OF YUEN LONG | 17.3% | 5.80 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 | CIRCUIT GLORY | 10.6% | 9.40 | 1 |
| 4 | 6 | CRAIG'S STAR | 6.8% | 14.78 | 4 |
| 5 | 7 | ENTRUSTED | 5.3% | 19.04 | 3 |
| 6 | 12 | CHAIRMAN LO | 4.8% | 20.87 | 10 |
| 7 | 10 | JOYFUL HEART | 4.1% | 24.55 | 7 |
| 8 | 3 | WINNING FOR ALL | 3.8% | 26.65 | 11 |
| 9 | 8 | WISDOM PATCH | 3.2% | 31.23 | 9 |
| 10 | 11 | SUPERB DADDY | 3.1% | 31.95 | 7 |
| 11 | 9 | GLORIOUS LOVER | 2.8% | 35.58 | 6 |
| 12 | 5 | FLYING MIGHTY | 2.4% | 41.72 | 5 |
| 13 | 4 | BLAZING BEAT | 2.1% | 47.56 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 67.5
PLACE
1 21
2 15
7 45.5
QUINELLA
1,2 125
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 45.5
1,7 170
2,7 116.5
FORECAST
1,2 284
TIERCE
1,2,7 3,294
TRIO
1,2,7 556
FIRST 4
1,2,6,7 1,148
QUARTET
1,2,7,6 24,388
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 31.5
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,14/1,2,7 209,283
9TH DOUBLE
4/1 267.5
4/2 19.5
SIX UP
2,8/9,11/1,6/4,6/4,14/1,2 13,924
8/9/1/6/4/1 89,053
3 [K Teetan] —
TREBLE
6/4/1 680
6/4/2 47