Sha Tin · 2020-09-13
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2020-09-13 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. WILL POWER, ridden by K Teetan and trained by D J Whyte, won by 1-3/4, with CZARSON second and ELITE PATCH third. Victory came as the 3.0 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | WILL POWER B-/XB 1.08.58 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 2 | 3.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 6 | CZARSON B-/CP1/TT- M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 4 | 15.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 2 | ELITE PATCH B/H/TT Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 7 | 3.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 4 | CALIFORNIA CONCORD TT N Callan · A S Cruz | N Callan | A S Cruz | 9 | 10.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 7 | ENSHRINED H/TT M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 3 | 5.7 | 4 |
| 6 | 3 | SILVER FIG B/TT A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 1 | 7.6 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | GOLFMAN STAR K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 6 | 92.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 9 | ROMANTIC COMBO B/TT J Moreira · C S Shum | J Moreira | C S Shum | 8 | 18.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 9 | 5 | GOOD BEAUTY B-/PC2/TT K H Chan · K L Man | K H Chan | K L Man | 5 | 65.0 | 20-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | WILL POWER | 37.7% | 2.65 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | ELITE PATCH | 13.7% | 7.30 | 3 |
| 3 | 3 | SILVER FIG | 13.4% | 7.47 | 6 |
| 4 | 4 | CALIFORNIA CONCORD | 11.0% | 9.09 | 4 |
| 5 | 7 | ENSHRINED | 9.4% | 10.60 | 5 |
| 6 | 5 | GOOD BEAUTY | 7.0% | 14.38 | 9 |
| 7 | 8 | GOLFMAN STAR | 2.9% | 34.33 | 7 |
| 8 | 9 | ROMANTIC COMBO | 2.6% | 38.42 | 8 |
| 9 | 6 | CZARSON | 2.3% | 43.87 | 2 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 30
PLACE
1 12
2 13
6 38
QUINELLA
1,6 202
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 20.5
1,6 75
2,6 78.5
FORECAST
1,6 558
TIERCE
1,6,2 1,354
TRIO
1,2,6 151
FIRST 4
1,2,4,6 298
QUARTET
1,6,2,4 6,822
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
8,9,11/1,2,6 27,075
3 PICK 1
A1 15
A2 —
A3 —
6TH DOUBLE
9/1 689
9/6 408.5